Kansas State Wildcats vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas State Wildcats vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 62

The Baylor Bears (3-2) are welcoming the Kansas State Wildcats (2-3) at McLane Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Baylor opens this matchup as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 62.

The Kansas State Wildcats step onto the field holding a record of 2-3 this season. In their last game, the Wildcats faced the UCF Knights and walked away with a win by a score of 34-20. The Kansas State Wildcats ran the football 44 times and had 266 yards, which had them averaging 6.0 yds per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they had 70 plays which totaled 434 yards. Kansas State gave up 13 pass completions on 26 tries for 197 yds, and a completion rate of 50.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Wildcats gave up 205 yds on 33 attempts, which is 6.2 yards per run allowed.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Kansas State Wildcats have an average of 26.2 points per contest. As a team they are averaging 139.6 yards on the ground which ranks them 94th in the nation. The Wildcats have earned 1,717 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Kansas State has totaled 8 touchdowns through the air and 7 rushing touchdowns. Kansas State has earned 77 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 15 penalties for 154 yds. They have turned the football over 6 times.

Regarding yards through the air, the Wildcats have given up 905 yards which ranks them 57th in the country. They have yielded 181.0 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 54.0%. Overall, they are conceding 362.6 yards per contest which has them sitting 74th in D-1. They have relinquished 5 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up 4.0 yards per run and 181.6 rushing yards per contest this season. Overall, they have given up 908 yards on the ground through 5 contests. The Wildcats sit in 77th in the nation concerning team defense, giving up 25.2 PPG.

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The Bears head into this matchup 3-2 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Bears took home the win by a final score of 45-27 when they played the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The Bears ended up finishing with 612 yds and they ran 74 plays (8.3 yards per play). Baylor ran for 5.6 yds per attempt, finishing with 219 yards on 39 carries. Baylor allowed 32 running attempts for 157 yards (4.9 yds per rush). The Bears secondary conceded a completion rate of 58.7%, relinquishing 291 yards on 27 out of 46 through the air.

The Baylor Bears have an average of 504.2 yards per contest, which ranks them 11th in the country. The Baylor offense has totaled 310 yards of penalties on 31 infractions, which ranks them 44th in the country in terms of making mistakes. They maintain an average of 154.8 rushing yards per game and have run for 774 yards in total. They have given away 3 picks while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have been able to tally 131 first downs. When looking at putting points on the board, the Bears sit 34th in D-1 scoring 36.6 points per game. During this campaign so far, the Bears currently have a total of 1,747 yards through the air as well as an average of 349.4 passing yards per game, ranking them 3rd in the nation.

The Bears are giving up 28.8 points per game, ranking them 107th in the nation. Baylor has allowed a total of 901 rushing yards (180.2 yards per contest) as well as 10 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have allowed the opposition 6 touchdowns via the pass and 203.0 yards per outing, which has them in 58th in the country. The Bears defense has taken part in 351 plays, which is 123rd in D-1. They have totaled 1 fumble and 4 interceptions on the campaign. This season, they have conceded 144 total points.

Who will win tonight's Wildcats/Bears college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Wildcats +6.5

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