Liberty Flames vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 9/13/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025

Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH

TV: ESPN/ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

The Liberty Flames (1-1) are hitting the road to Doyt L. Perry Stadium on Saturday, September 13, 2025 where they will try to defeat the Bowling Green Falcons (1-1). Liberty opens this game as 6.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 51.5.

The Liberty Flames head into this game 1-1 for this season. In their last game, the Flames played the Jacksonville State Gamecocks and went home with a loss by a final score of 34-24. The Liberty Flames ran the rock 37 times and amassed 199 yards, which is an average of 5.4 yards per tote. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 66 plays which totaled 534 yards. Liberty relinquished 6 completions on 12 attempts for 52 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. On the ground, the Flames conceded 338 yards on 50 attempts, which averages out to 6.8 yds per run surrendered.

When talking about putting points on the board, the Liberty Flames are averaging 26.0 points per outing. As a team they average 196.5 yards via the ground game which is 43rd in Division 1. The Flames have attained 925 total yards for the year. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Liberty has compiled 5 passing touchdowns and 2 touchdowns via the ground. Liberty has amassed 42 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 8 infractions for 70 yards. They have turned the football over 2 times.

The Flames are sitting in 71st in college football in terms of the opposition scoring, allowing 20.5 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 6.4 yards per rush on the ground and 261.0 rushing yards per game for the campaign. In total, they have allowed 522 yards via the running game in 2 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Flames are giving up 184 yards which has them sitting in 9th in Division 1. They are allowing 92.0 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 44.2%. Over the course of this year, they have surrendered 353.0 yards per contest which ranks them 86th in college football. They have relinquished 5 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Falcons head into this game 1-1 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Falcons took a loss by a final score of 34-20 when they faced the Cincinnati Bearcats. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 372 yds while running 71 plays (5.2 yds per play). Bowling Green ran the ball for 2.9 yards per carry, finishing the game with 98 yards on 34 attempts. Bowling Green surrendered 29 running attempts for 106 yds (3.7 yards per carry). The Falcons pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 70.8%, relinquishing 333 yards on 17 for 24 passing.

The Bowling Green Falcons hold an average of 319.0 yards/outing, which has them ranked 106th in Division 1. The Bowling Green offense has racked up 65 yards of penalties on 8 violations, ranking them 112th in the nation in terms of hurting your team. They average 127.5 run yards per game and have run for 255 yards for this year. They have been able to obtain 38 first downs. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Falcons are ranking 96th in the nation with 23.0 PPG. During the season thus far, the Falcons currently have a total of 383 yards through the air along with holding an average of 191.5 throwing yards per outing, which has them sitting 95th in Division 1.

Bowling Green has conceded a total of 165 yards rushing (82.5 yards/game) in addition to 1 touchdown by way of the ground game this season. They have conceded 4 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 225.5 yards per game, which puts them in 92nd in the nation. They have earned 1 fumble and 0 picks this season. The Falcons defense has participated in 112 plays, which is 25th in the country. The Falcons are conceding 20.5 PPG, ranking them 69th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Flames -6.5

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