Liberty Flames vs Old Dominion Monarchs Prediction, 9/27/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs Old Dominion Monarchs

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: S.B. Ballard Stadium in Norfolk, VA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Monarchs (-16.0)

Total/Over-Under: 52

The Liberty Flames (1-3) are on their way to S.B. Ballard Stadium on Saturday, September 27, 2025 where they will go up against the Old Dominion Monarchs (2-1). Liberty opens as 16.0-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 52.

The Liberty Flames step onto the field holding a record of 1-3 this season. The last time they took the field, the Flames faced the James Madison Dukes and took a loss by a final of 31-13. On the day, they had 63 plays which totaled 233 yds. The Liberty Flames rushed the ball a total of 42 times and had 158 yards, which is an average of 3.8 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Flames conceded 227 yds on 42 tries, which is an average of 5.4 yards per run allowed. Liberty surrendered 17 pass completions on 25 attempts for a total of 213 yards, and a completion rate of 68.0%.

The Flames have earned 1,504 total yards this season. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Liberty has compiled 6 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 6 times. Liberty has accrued 75 first downs offensively, and they have committed 20 infractions for 162 yds. As a team they average 175.8 yards via the ground game ranking them 63rd in the country. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Liberty Flames are averaging 19.5 points per game.

Concerning passing yards, the Flames are allowing 543 yds which has them sitting in 20th in college football. They have yielded 135.8 yards per outing through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 52.0%. During the season, they are granting 362.5 yards/outing which has them ranked 78th in college football. They have surrendered 2 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 9 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing 5.7 yards per rush and 226.8 yards on the ground per contest this year. During the season, they have allowed 907 rushing yards through 4 games. The Flames are sitting in 75th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 23.8 points per game.

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The Monarchs head into this game 2-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Monarchs walked away with a victory by a final of 45-26 against the Virginia Tech Hokies. Old Dominion allowed 34 rushing attempts for 167 yds (4.9 yards per rush). The Monarchs passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 66.7%, surrendering 266 yds on 26 out of 39 through the air. The Monarchs finished the game with a total of 526 yards and they ran 62 plays (8.5 yards per play). Old Dominion rushed for 6.3 yards per tote, finishing with 250 yards on 40 carries.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Monarchs are ranking 35th in the country with an average of 37.7 points per game. The Old Dominion Monarchs have an average of 461.3 yards per contest, which is good for 30th in D-1. The Old Dominion offense has totaled 229 penalty yds on 23 violations, which ranks 70th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 3 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 64 1st downs. During this campaign thus far, the Monarchs have compiled 649 yards via the pass as well as an average of 216.3 passing yards per outing, which ranks 80th in the nation. They hold an average of 245.0 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 735 yards in total.

Old Dominion has given up a total of 612 yards via the ground game (204.0 yards/game) as well as 3 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have conceded 3 touchdowns via the pass as well as 186.7 yards/outing, ranking them 50th in the country. Over the course of the season, they have given up 59 total points. Their defense has totaled 3 fumbles and 3 interceptions over the course of the season. The Monarchs defense has been on the field for 227 plays, which is 46th in college football. The Monarchs are giving up 19.7 PPG, which puts them 50th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Monarchs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Flames +16.0

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