Miami RedHawks vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 12/27/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami RedHawks vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025

Location: Arizona Stadium in Tucson, AZ

TV: The CW Network

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-6.0)

Total/Over-Under: 42

The Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4) will go up against the Miami RedHawks (7-6) at Arizona Stadium on Saturday, December 27, 2025 in the Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl. Fresno State opens this game as 6.0-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 42.

The Miami RedHawks head into this matchup 7-6 for this season. The last time they took the field, the RedHawks went up against the Western Michigan Broncos and took a loss by a final of 23-13. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the RedHawks gave up 286 yards on 56 attempts, which averages out to 5.1 yds per run surrendered. Miami gave up 8 pass completions on 13 tries for a total of 111 yds, and a completion percentage of 61.5%. For the game, they ran 69 plays for 272 yards. The Miami Redhawks ended up running the ball 31 different times and accumulated 73 yds, which is an average of 2.4 yds per carry.

When talking about scoring points, the Miami RedHawks are sitting at 25.1 PPG. Offensively they are averaging 152.6 yards in the run game which is 75th in Division 1. The RedHawks have earned 4,534 yards in total for the season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Miami has amassed 17 touchdowns through the air and 17 rushing touchdowns. Miami has accrued 235 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 74 penalties for 649 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 13 times.

The RedHawks are ranked 43rd in college football when it comes to team defense, allowing 22.0 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt and 130.7 rushing yards per game on the season. For the year, they have conceded 1,699 yards via the running game in 13 games. Regarding yards through the air, the RedHawks have given up 2,586 yards which ranks them 54th in D-1. They have conceded 198.9 yards per outing via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 55.8%. For the year, they are surrendering 329.6 yards per game ranking them 31st in the nation. They have surrendered 21 touchdowns by air and 12 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Bulldogs step onto the field holding a record of 8-4 this year. In their last game, the Bulldogs got the victory with a final of 41-14 against the San Jose State Spartans. Fresno State rushed the football for 4.9 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 259 yards on 53 carries. The Bulldogs finished the contest with a total of 397 yds on 73 plays (5.4 yards per play). The Bulldogs passing defense conceded a completion rate of 32.4%, relinquishing 114 yards on 11 for 34 through the air. Fresno State conceded 26 rush attempts for 113 yds (4.3 yards per rush).

The Fresno State Bulldogs are averaging 350.3 yards/game, which is good for 92nd in D-1. The Fresno State offense has racked up 718 yds of penalties on 78 violations, which is 56th in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have an average of 169.9 run yards per game and have run for 2,039 yards for the year. They have given away 13 interceptions while conceding 7 fumbles and they have been able to earn 228 1st downs. In terms of this team's ability to score points, the Bulldogs currently rank 77th in Division 1 maintaining an average of 26.4 points per game. Over the course of the season to this point, the Bulldogs have thrown for a total of 2,165 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 180.4 passing yards per contest, which ranks 114th in D-1.

Fresno State has conceded a total of 1,595 yards rushing (132.9 yards/game) and 10 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. They have given up 18 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 160.6 yards/game, which has them in 8th in the nation. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 241 points in total. Their defense has 5 fumbles recovered and 19 picks for the season. The Bulldogs defense has been on the field for 742 plays, which is 14th in college football. The Bulldogs are allowing 20.1 points per contest, which has them sitting 25th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's RedHawks/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -6.0

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