Michigan Wolverines vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, 12/31/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan Wolverines vs Texas Longhorns

Date: Wednesday, December 31, 2025

Location: Camping World Stadium in Orlando, FL

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Longhorns (-8.0)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Michigan Wolverines (9-3) are traveling to Camping World Stadium on Wednesday, December 31, 2025 where they will go up against the Texas Longhorns (9-3) in the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl. Texas opens this contest as 8.0-point favorites. The over/under is 46.5.

The Michigan Wolverines head into this game 9-3 for this year. In their last contest, the Wolverines faced the Ohio State Buckeyes and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 27-9. The Michigan Wolverines ran the football 24 times and totaled 100 yds, which earned them an average of 4.2 yards per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they had 42 plays which gave them a total of 163 yds. Michigan conceded 19 pass completions on 26 tries for 233 yards, and a completion rate of 73.1%. In the running game, the Wolverines conceded 186 yards on 47 tries, which calculates to 4.0 yards per rush surrendered.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the Michigan Wolverines have an average of 27.6 PPG. As a team they're maintaining an average of 213.2 yards in the run game ranking them 15th in the country. The Wolverines currently have 4,787 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Michigan has compiled 10 passing touchdowns and 32 touchdowns on the ground. Michigan has accounted for 244 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 48 penalties for 413 yds. They have turned the football over 14 times.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Wolverines are allowing 2,527 yards which puts them in 44th in the nation. They have allowed 210.6 yards per contest through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 63.6%. During this campaign, they are giving up 312.3 yards/game which ranks them 21st in the country. They have surrendered 16 touchdowns via the pass and 11 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.1 yards per run and 101.7 rushing yards per contest this year. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 1,220 yards on the ground through 12 games. The Wolverines rank 19th in the country regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 18.7 points per contest.

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The Longhorns step onto the field holding a record of 9-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Longhorns went home victorious with a score of 27-17 against the Texas A&M Aggies. Texas ended up running for 6.2 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 218 yards on 35 carries. The Longhorns finished the contest with a total of 397 yards while they ran 66 plays (6.0 yards per play). The Longhorns secondary gave up a completion rate of 62.5%, relinquishing 180 yards on 20 for 32 passing. Texas surrendered 34 running attempts for 157 yards (4.6 yds per rush).

The Texas Longhorns hold an average of 382.8 yards/game, which ranks them 73rd in Division 1. The Texas offense has accrued 803 penalty yards on 96 violations, which has them sitting 9th in the country in terms of making mistakes. They maintain an average of 129.7 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,556 yards for this year. They have thrown 7 picks while surrendering 1 fumbles and they have been able to tally 223 first downs. When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Longhorns are ranking 51st in Division 1 with 29.6 points per game. During this campaign so far, the Longhorns have thrown for a total of 3,038 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 253.2 passing yards per contest, which has them sitting 44th in Division 1.

Texas has given up a total of 1,177 yards via the ground game (98.1 yards per outing) and 12 touchdowns rushing on the campaign. They have given up 16 touchdowns via the pass as well as 237.6 yards per outing, which puts them in 101st in college football. Overall, they have relinquished 238 total points. Their defense has 7 fumbles recovered and 13 picks on the campaign. The Longhorns defense has taken the field for 814 plays, which has them ranked 68th in Division 1. The Longhorns are giving up 19.8 points per game, which has them 24th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Wolverines/Longhorns college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Longhorns -8.0

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