Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, 11/1/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025

Location: Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, AR

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Razorbacks (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 68

The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-6) will go up against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-4) at Razorback Stadium on Saturday, November 1, 2025. Arkansas opens this game as 4.5-point favorites. The total is set at 68.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 this season. The last time they took the field, the Bulldogs faced off with the Texas Longhorns and took a loss by a score of 45-38. On the ground, the Bulldogs gave up 72 yds on 32 attempts, which is an average of 2.3 yds per rush allowed. Mississippi State relinquished 30 completions on 47 tries for a total of 356 yards, and a completion rate of 63.8%. At the end of the game, they tallied 86 plays which gave them 445 yards. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ended up running the ball 43 different times and totaled 63 yards, earning them an average of 1.5 yds per carry.

Concerning scoring points, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 32.6 PPG. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 164.1 yards on the ground ranking them 59th in Division 1. The Bulldogs have racked up 3,286 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Mississippi State has amassed 15 touchdowns via the pass and 19 rushing touchdowns. Mississippi State has compiled 172 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 65 penalties for 563 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 9 times.

In terms of yards through the air, the Bulldogs have given up 1,667 yards which ranks them 60th in the country. They have relinquished 208.4 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 60.0%. During this campaign, they are allowing 360.9 yards/outing ranking them 60th in the nation. They have granted 11 touchdowns by air and 8 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition is running for 4.2 yards per tote and 152.5 rushing yards per game on the season. During this campaign, they have given up 1,220 yards via the ground game in 8 games. The Bulldogs sit in 59th in the nation when it comes to team defense, conceding 23.4 PPG.

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The Razorbacks head into this game 2-6 for this season. When they last played, the Razorbacks walked away with a loss by a score of 33-24 when they played the Auburn Tigers. Arkansas rushed the ball for 2.7 yards per carry, totaling 63 yards on 23 carries. The Razorbacks finished the game with a total of 331 yards while running 45 plays (7.4 yards per play). The Razorbacks secondary gave up a completion rate of 65.0%, relinquishing 150 yards on 13 for 20 through the air. Arkansas allowed 50 rush attempts for 230 yds (4.6 yds per carry).

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Razorbacks are 26th in college football with 35.5 points per game. The Arkansas Razorbacks hold an average of 490.9 yards per outing, ranking them 7th in college football. The Arkansas offense has racked up 370 penalty yds on 44 violations, which is good for 89th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 8 picks while surrendering 7 fumbles and they have been able to record 193 first downs. For the season to this point, the Razorbacks have thrown for a total of 2,287 passing yards in addition to an average of 285.9 passing yards per contest, which ranks 20th in college football. They average 205.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,640 yards for the year.

The Razorbacks are relinquishing 32.8 points per game, ranking them 122nd in college football. Arkansas has allowed a total of 1,551 yards on the ground (193.9 yards per game) and 17 touchdowns on the ground for the year. They have conceded 13 touchdowns through the air and 242.0 yards per outing, which has them ranked 99th in Division 1. The Razorbacks defense has been on the field for 549 plays, which ranks 104th in Division 1. Their defense has totaled 2 fumbles and 5 interceptions for the year. Overall, they have conceded 262 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Razorbacks college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +4.5

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