Missouri State Bears vs MTSU Blue Raiders Prediction, 10/8/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri State Bears vs MTSU Blue Raiders

Date: Wednesday, October 8, 2025

Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, TN

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Blue Raiders (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

The MTSU Blue Raiders (1-4) will try to beat the Missouri State Bears (2-3) at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium on Wednesday, October 8, 2025. MTSU opens this matchup as 2.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 51.5.

The Missouri State Bears step onto the field holding a record of 2-3 for this season. In their last matchup, the Bears took the field against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and went home with a loss by a final score of 27-22. When it came to stopping the run, the Bears gave up 159 yds on 29 attempts, which averages out to 5.5 yds per rush allowed. Missouri State gave up 26 completions on 39 attempts for 317 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%. For the game, they had 66 plays which totaled 414 yards. The Missouri State Bears ended up running the ball 34 different times and had 214 yards, which earned them an average of 6.3 yds per carry.

The Bears have earned 1,857 total yards this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Missouri State has compiled 9 touchdowns via the pass and 4 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 8 times. Missouri State has amassed 91 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 40 penalties for 379 yds. As a unit they have an average of 109.6 yards via the ground game which is 117th in the country. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Missouri State Bears are sitting at 21.6 points per game.

The Bears rank 119th in the nation concerning team defense, allowing 31.6 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 5.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 164.2 rushing yards per contest so far this season. For the season, they have allowed 821 rushing yards through 5 outings. Concerning yards through the air, the Bears are allowing 1,195 yards which has them sitting in 78th in D-1. They have conceded 239.0 yards per outing through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 69.6%. Overall, they have given up 403.2 yards per contest ranking them 113th in the nation. They have yielded 5 touchdowns by air in addition to 14 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Blue Raiders step onto the field holding a record of 1-4 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Blue Raiders went home defeated by a final of 24-16 against the Kennesaw State Owls. The Blue Raiders finished the game with 460 yards while running 79 plays (5.8 yds per play). MTSU ended up running for 4.2 yards per attempt, totaling 155 yds on 37 attempts. MTSU allowed 31 attempts on the ground for 157 yds (5.1 yards per rush). The Blue Raiders passing defense allowed a completion rate of 65.0%, relinquishing 177 yards on 13 out of 20 passing.

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Blue Raiders are ranked 129th in the country by scoring 16.4 points per contest. The MTSU Blue Raiders are averaging 315.8 yards per contest, which has them ranked 121st in the country. The MTSU offense has 301 yards of penalties on 34 infractions, which is 63rd in the country in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 4 picks while conceding 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 88 first downs. For the season to this point, the Blue Raiders have earned 1,168 passing yards along with an average of 233.6 passing yards per outing, which ranks 65th in the nation. They have an average of 82.2 yards per game via the rush and have run for 411 yards for the season.

MTSU has allowed a total of 850 yards rushing (170.0 yards per outing) as well as 7 touchdowns rushing this season. They have yielded 13 touchdowns via the pass and 216.0 yards/contest, which has them in 64th in the country. This year, they have surrendered 155 total points. They have totaled 3 fumbles recovered and 3 picks on the year. The Blue Raiders defense has been on the field for 314 plays, which has them sitting 36th in college football. The Blue Raiders are surrendering 31.0 PPG, which has them sitting 115th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Blue Raiders college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears -2.5

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