MTSU Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 11/29/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (-4.0)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

The New Mexico State Aggies (4-7) will try to beat the MTSU Blue Raiders (2-9) at Aggie Memorial Stadium on Saturday, November 29, 2025. New Mexico State opens this game as 4.0-point favorites. The betting total is set at 52.5.

The MTSU Blue Raiders head into this matchup 2-9 for this season. In their last game, the Blue Raiders took on the Sam Houston Bearkats and took home the win by a score of 31-17. The MTSU Blue Raiders ran the ball a total of 32 different times and compiled 192 yards, which is an average of 6.0 yards per carry. When all was said and done, they tallied 66 plays which totaled 460 yards. MTSU surrendered 25 pass completions on 41 tries for a total of 281 yds, and a completion rate of 61.0%. In the running game, the Blue Raiders conceded 79 yards on 24 attempts, which averages out to 3.3 yards per rush surrendered.

The Blue Raiders have tallied 4,000 total yards over the course of this season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, MTSU has compiled 20 touchdowns through the air and 10 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 12 different times. MTSU has tallied 215 first downs offensively, and they have committed 75 penalties for 693 yards. As a team they average 97.0 yards in the run game which is 130th in Division 1. Regarding putting points on the board, the MTSU Blue Raiders are averaging 21.6 PPG.

The Blue Raiders sit in 118th in the nation concerning team defense, allowing 31.5 PPG. They are giving up 4.0 yards per run and 148.5 rushing yards per contest on the campaign. For the year, they have given up 1,634 yards on the ground through 11 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Blue Raiders are giving up 2,763 yds which has them ranked 116th in the nation. They are giving up 251.2 yards per outing via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 65.0%. Over the course of this season, they are conceding 399.7 yards per contest ranking them 99th in college football. They have relinquished 29 touchdowns by air as well as 17 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Aggies head into this matchup 4-7 for this year. In their last game, the Aggies got the victory with a final of 34-31 when they played the UTEP Miners. The Aggies finished the game with 470 yards and they ran 81 plays (5.8 yds per play). New Mexico State ran the ball for 5.0 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 194 yards on 39 carries. New Mexico State surrendered 34 running attempts for 248 yds (7.3 yds per rush). The Aggies passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 53.3%, surrendering 151 yds on 16 out of 30 through the air.

The New Mexico State Aggies average 321.8 yards per contest, which ranks them 116th in the country. The New Mexico State offense has compiled 609 yds of penalties on 68 violations, which has them sitting 63rd in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 76.6 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 843 yards overall. They have thrown 14 picks while surrendering 7 fumbles and they have been able to tally 221 1st downs. Concerning how much they score, the Aggies are ranking 113th in college football scoring 21.4 points per game. For the year thus far, the Aggies have compiled 2,697 yards through the air in addition to an average of 245.2 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 51st in the nation.

New Mexico State has given up a total of 1,781 rushing yards (161.9 yards/game) as well as 13 touchdowns rushing this year. They have allowed 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 234.7 yards/contest, which has them ranked 90th in D-1. Overall, they have relinquished 300 pts. They have tallied 8 fumbles recovered and 15 picks on the campaign. The Aggies defense has taken the field for 783 plays, which is good for 118th in D-1. The Aggies are allowing 27.3 PPG, ranking them 84th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Blue Raiders/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Raiders +4.0

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