MTSU Blue Raiders vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, 11/15/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025

Location: Houchens Industries in Bowling Green, KY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Hilltoppers (-13.5)

Total/Over-Under: 56.5

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-2) welcome the MTSU Blue Raiders (1-7) at Houchens Industries on Saturday, November 15, 2025. MTSU opens this contest as 13.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 56.5.

The MTSU Blue Raiders come into this game with a record of 1-7 for this year. In their last game, the Blue Raiders played against the FIU Panthers and ended up losing by a score of 56-30. The MTSU Blue Raiders ran the ball 24 different times and had 33 yards, which came out to an average of 1.4 yds per carry. Overall, they ran 78 plays which converted into 364 yards. MTSU allowed 17 completions on 28 attempts for a total of 257 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.7%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Blue Raiders gave up 144 yards on 38 attempts, which averages out to 3.8 yds per run allowed.

The Blue Raiders have earned 2,635 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, MTSU has earned 13 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 9 different times. MTSU has accumulated 152 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 53 infractions for 480 yards. As a team they average 85.5 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 132nd in the country. In terms of putting points on the board, the MTSU Blue Raiders hold an average of 18.9 points per outing.

When talking about passing yards, the Blue Raiders are conceding 1,854 yards which has them ranked 66th in the nation. They have relinquished 231.8 yards per contest via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 64.9%. Over the course of this season, they are surrendering 374.3 yards/contest which ranks them 73rd in college football. They have relinquished 20 touchdowns by air in addition to 9 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.6 yards per rush and 142.5 rushing yards per contest so far this season. Overall, they have given up 1,140 rushing yards through 8 contests. The Blue Raiders rank 98th in the nation in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 29.0 points per game.

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The Hilltoppers head into this matchup 7-2 this season. The last time they took the field, the Hilltoppers got the win with a final of 35-16 when they faced the New Mexico State Aggies. Western Kentucky surrendered 26 running attempts for 66 yards (2.5 yards per carry). The Hilltoppers pass defense gave up a completion rate of 32.5%, surrendering 112 yds on 13 out of 40 through the air. The Hilltoppers finished the contest with a total of 429 yds while they ran 79 plays (5.4 yds per play). Western Kentucky ran the ball for 3.4 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 128 yards on 38 attempts.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers average 409.7 yards per contest, which has them ranked 53rd in the country. The Western Kentucky offense has 602 yards of penalties on 58 infractions, which ranks 49th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They are averaging 121.9 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,097 yards for this year. They have thrown 7 picks while surrendering 6 fumbles and they have recorded 196 1st downs. Concerning this team's ability to score points, the Hilltoppers currently rank 57th in D-1 holding an average of 30.1 PPG. For the year so far, the Hilltoppers have racked up 2,590 passing yards as well as holding an average of 287.8 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 19th in college football.

The Hilltoppers are relinquishing 22.8 points per contest, which has them 54th in the country. Western Kentucky has allowed a total of 1,599 yards via the ground game (177.7 yards per outing) and 11 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns through the air in addition to 205.6 yards/outing, which has them ranked 52nd in D-1. The Hilltoppers defense has taken part in 633 plays, which is good for 119th in college football. Their defense has tallied 3 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions this year. In total, they have allowed 205 pts.

Who will win tonight's Blue Raiders/Hilltoppers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Raiders +13.5

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