Navy Midshipmen vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, 11/27/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs Memphis Tigers

Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025

Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (-5.0)

Total/Over-Under: 59

The Memphis Tigers (8-3) host the Navy Midshipmen (8-2) at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Thursday, November 27, 2025. Memphis opens as 5.0-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 59.

The Navy Midshipmen come into this game with a record of 8-2 for this season. In their last contest, the Midshipmen faced the USF Bulls and earned the victory with a final of 41-38. Against the rush, the Midshipmen conceded 249 yards on 38 tries, which is an average of 6.6 yards per run surrendered. Navy conceded 16 pass completions on 19 tries for a total of 253 yds, and a completion percentage of 84.2%. For the game, they tallied 72 plays which converted into 524 yards. The Navy Midshipmen rushed the ball a total of 53 different times and tallied 338 yards, which had them averaging 6.4 yards per tote.

The Midshipmen have earned 4,482 yards in total for the year. With reference to scoring touchdowns, Navy has compiled 8 passing touchdowns and 35 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 10 different times. Navy has recorded 205 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 63 infractions for 547 yards. Offensively they maintain an average of 308.2 yards rushing which is 1st in D-1. When it comes to scoring points, the Navy Midshipmen are averaging 32.9 points per contest.

In terms of yards through the air, the Midshipmen are giving up 2,639 yards which puts them in 99th in the nation. They have yielded 263.9 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 66.3%. For the season, they are conceding 409.8 yards per outing which ranks them 108th in the country. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns through the air as well as 18 touchdowns running the ball. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per running attempt and 145.9 yards on the ground per game on the year. Overall, they have conceded 1,459 rushing yards through 10 contests. The Midshipmen sit in 92nd in the country in terms of team defense, allowing 27.9 points per contest.

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The Tigers head into this game 8-3 for this season. When they last played, the Tigers walked away with a loss by a score of 31-27 against the East Carolina Pirates. The Tigers finished the contest with a total of 457 yds while they ran 77 plays (5.9 yards per play). Memphis ran for 7.3 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 240 yards on 33 attempts. Memphis relinquished 32 run attempts for 125 yds (3.9 yds per rush). The Tigers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 66.7%, surrendering 332 yards on 16 for 24 through the air.

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Tigers rank 17th in D-1 scoring 36.2 points per contest. The Memphis Tigers are averaging 432.7 yards per contest, which has them sitting 28th in the nation. The Memphis offense has compiled 512 penalty yds on 61 infractions, which is 94th in the country in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 8 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have obtained 262 1st downs. For the year so far, the Tigers have thrown for a total of 2,643 yards through the air along with an average of 240.3 throwing yards per game, giving them a rank of 58th in the country. They hold an average of 192.5 yards per game on the ground and have run for 2,118 yards for the year.

Memphis has allowed a total of 1,401 yards via the ground game (127.4 yards per game) in addition to 17 touchdowns rushing for the year. They have conceded 13 touchdowns through the air and 239.3 yards per outing, ranking them 99th in D-1. This season, they have surrendered 242 points in total. They have earned 6 fumbles recovered and 12 picks this year. The Tigers defense has participated in 724 plays, which ranks 55th in Division 1. The Tigers are conceding 22.0 points per contest, which has them 46th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen +5.0

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