New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 10/11/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025

Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-17.0)

Total/Over-Under: 60.5

The New Mexico Lobos (3-2) are hitting the road to Albertsons Stadium on Saturday, October 11, 2025 where they will attempt to defeat the Boise State Broncos (3-2). Boise State opens this contest as 17.0-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 60.5.

The New Mexico Lobos step onto the field holding a record of 3-2 for this season. In their last game, the Lobos went up against the San Jose State Spartans and went home with a loss by a final score of 35-28. For the game, they ran 67 plays for 420 yards. The New Mexico Lobos ended up rushing 27 times and tallied 76 yds, which earned them an average of 2.8 yards per carry. In the running game, the Lobos conceded 153 yds on 36 attempts, which is an average of 4.3 yards per run allowed. New Mexico relinquished 26 completions on 30 attempts for a total of 334 yds, and a completion percentage of 86.7%.

When it comes to scoring points, the New Mexico Lobos are sitting at 30.0 points per game. As a team they're holding an average of 154.4 yards in the run game which has them sitting 71st in D-1. The Lobos have racked up 1,984 total yards for this campaign. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, New Mexico has compiled 9 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns via the ground. New Mexico has accrued 116 1st downs, and they have committed 22 infractions for 155 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 11 times.

The Lobos are sitting in 74th in college football when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 24.2 points per game. They are giving up an average of 4.0 yards per rushing attempt and 119.8 yards on the ground per game for the season. For the year, they have conceded 599 yards via the ground game in 5 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Lobos are allowing 1,356 yds which ranks them 117th in the nation. They have conceded 271.2 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 68.6%. Over the course of this season, they are surrendering 391.0 yards per game ranking them 96th in the nation. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 6 touchdowns on the ground.

Get all of our College Football Picks Today

The Broncos come into this game with a record of 3-2 for this season. In their last game, the Broncos took a defeat with a final score of 28-7 when they played the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. The Broncos finished the contest with a total of 315 yards while they ran 71 plays (4.4 yds per play). Boise State rushed the football for 2.9 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 100 yards on 34 carries. Boise State conceded 31 rush attempts for 200 yards (6.5 yds per carry). The Broncos passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 65.2%, relinquishing 189 yds on 15 for 23 passing.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Broncos are sitting 52nd in the nation holding an average of 32.2 points per game. The Boise State Broncos have an average of 479.0 yards per contest, ranking them 14th in college football. The Boise State offense has accrued 386 penalty yards on 44 infractions, which ranks 6th in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 5 picks while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 118 first downs. For the season thus far, the Broncos have racked up 1,411 yards through the air as well as an average of 282.2 throwing yards per contest, which has them sitting 27th in college football. They hold an average of 196.8 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 984 yards for the season.

The Broncos are conceding 25.4 PPG, which puts them 79th in college football. Boise State has allowed a total of 811 yards via the ground game (162.2 yards/game) and 11 touchdowns rushing for the campaign. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns from the passing game and 186.2 yards/contest, which has them in 39th in college football. The Broncos defense has been on the field for 307 plays, which ranks them 24th in college football. Their defense has compiled 2 fumbles recovered and 5 picks over the course of the season. Over the course of the season, they have given up 127 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos -17.0

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here