New Mexico Lobos vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, 10/3/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs San Jose State Spartans

Date: Friday, October 3, 2025

Location: CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Spartans (-3.0)

Total/Over-Under: 57.5

CEFCU Stadium is the location where the San Jose State Spartans (1-3) will attempt to defeat the New Mexico Lobos (3-1) on Friday, October 3, 2025. New Mexico opens this contest as 3.0-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 57.5.

The New Mexico Lobos come into this game with a record of 3-1 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Lobos faced the New Mexico State Aggies and took home the win by a score of 38-20. For the game, they tallied 69 plays which gave them a total of 476 yards. The New Mexico Lobos ran the rock 38 different times and amassed 132 yds, which came out to an average of 3.5 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Lobos conceded 15 yards on 30 attempts, which averages out to 0.5 yds per rush surrendered. New Mexico gave up 21 pass completions on 38 attempts for 289 yards, and a completion rate of 55.3%.

The Lobos have earned 1,564 yards in total this year. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, New Mexico has earned 9 passing touchdowns and 7 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 8 times. New Mexico has recorded 87 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 16 penalties for 107 yds. As a team they're averaging 174.0 yards rushing ranking this team at 58th in D-1. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the New Mexico Lobos are sitting at 30.5 PPG.

The Lobos are sitting in 57th in college football concerning team defense, conceding 21.5 PPG. They are allowing 3.9 yards per rush on the ground and 111.5 rushing yards per contest so far this season. In total, they have allowed 446 rushing yards through 4 games. In terms of passing yards, the Lobos are allowing 1,022 yards which has them sitting in 79th in D-1. They have relinquished 255.5 yards per game via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 64.8%. In total, they have given up 367.0 yards per game which puts them 77th in college football. They have given up 4 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 4 touchdowns on the ground.

Get all of our College Football Picks

The Spartans head into this game 1-3 this season. The last time they took the field, the Spartans went home defeated by a final of 30-29 when they played the Stanford Cardinal. San Jose State surrendered 26 run attempts for 37 yards (1.4 yards per rush). The Spartans pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 67.4%, relinquishing 444 yards on 29 for 43 through the air. The Spartans finished with a total of 524 yds while running 72 plays (7.3 yards per play). San Jose State ran for 3.6 yards per tote, finishing with 51 yds on 14 attempts.

When looking at the points being put on the board, the Spartans are sitting 115th in the country with an average of 20.3 PPG. The San Jose State Spartans average 399.0 yards per contest, which ranks them 66th in college football. The San Jose State offense has 158 yds of penalties on 19 violations, which ranks 114th in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 3 picks while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have recorded 77 first downs. For the season thus far, the Spartans currently have a total of 1,187 passing yards along with holding an average of 296.8 passing yards per contest, ranking them 21st in college football. They have an average of 102.3 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 409 yards in total.

The Spartans are surrendering 28.0 PPG, which puts them 101st in D-1. San Jose State has surrendered a total of 580 yards via the ground game (145.0 yards per game) in addition to 6 touchdowns rushing for the year. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 277.0 yards/game, ranking them 126th in the country. The Spartans defense has been on the field for 273 plays, which is 53rd in D-1. Their defense has totaled 3 fumbles recovered and 1 pick this year. This season, they have conceded 112 points.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Spartans college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Lobos +3.0

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here