New Mexico Lobos vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, 11/1/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs UNLV Rebels

Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 62

The UNLV Rebels (6-1) will take on the New Mexico Lobos (5-3) at Allegiant Stadium on Saturday, November 1, 2025. New Mexico is 5.5-point dogs. The total comes in at 62.

The New Mexico Lobos head into this game 5-3 for this season. In their last game, the Lobos played the Utah State Aggies and went home with a win by a final score of 33-14. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Lobos conceded 142 yds on 25 tries, which is 5.7 yards per run allowed. New Mexico conceded 13 pass completions on 23 attempts for a total of 164 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.5%. Once the final whistle blew, they had 64 plays for 407 yards. The New Mexico Lobos ended up rushing 42 times and compiled 224 yds, which had them averaging 5.3 yards per tote.

Regarding putting points on the board, the New Mexico Lobos have an average of 29.0 points per game. Offensively they average 156.9 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 66th in Division 1. The Lobos have earned 2,970 total yards this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, New Mexico has amassed 12 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns. New Mexico has accrued 170 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 45 infractions for 353 yards. They have turned the ball over 16 different times.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Lobos have conceded 1,951 yards which has them sitting in 113th in Division 1. They have surrendered 243.9 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 68.8%. Overall, they are giving up 363.5 yards per outing which puts them 65th in the country. They have allowed 11 touchdowns via the pass and 11 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing 3.7 yards per run and 119.6 rushing yards per game on the campaign. During this campaign, they have allowed 957 yards via the running game in 8 outings. The Lobos are sitting in 77th in college football in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 24.8 PPG.

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The Rebels step onto the field holding a record of 6-1 for this season. When they last played, the Rebels walked away with a loss by a score of 56-31 when they played the Boise State Broncos. UNLV gave up 33 run attempts for 294 yards (8.9 yards per carry). The Rebels pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 62.5%, surrendering 264 yds on 15 for 24 passing. The Rebels finished the game with 476 yards while running 70 plays (6.8 yards per play). UNLV ran for 6.5 yds per carry, totaling 261 yards on 40 carries.

The UNLV Rebels have an average of 447.1 yards per outing, which has them sitting 25th in D-1. The UNLV offense has 538 penalty yds on 58 infractions, which ranks them 22nd in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have an average of 208.4 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,459 yards overall. They have given away 4 interceptions while losing 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 156 first downs. In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Rebels are 18th in Division 1 averaging 37.1 points per outing. During this campaign so far, the Rebels currently have a total of 1,671 passing yards together with holding an average of 238.7 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 62nd in D-1.

UNLV has allowed a total of 1,433 rushing yards (204.7 yards per contest) in addition to 15 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the campaign. They have allowed 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 256.4 yards/outing, which has them in 116th in the country. This season, they have relinquished 234 pts. They have compiled 6 fumbles and 10 picks for the year. The Rebels defense has taken part in 484 plays, which ranks 45th in Division 1. The Rebels are allowing 33.4 points per contest, which has them ranked 125th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Lobos +5.5

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