New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 10/14/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames

Date: Tuesday, October 14, 2025

Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46

The Liberty Flames (2-4) are welcoming the New Mexico State Aggies (3-2) at Williams Stadium on Tuesday, October 14, 2025. Liberty opens this game as 10.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 46.

The New Mexico State Aggies step onto the field holding a record of 3-2 this season. In their last matchup, the Aggies stepped onto the field against the Sam Houston Bearkats and notched a win by a score of 37-10. When it came to stopping the run, the Aggies gave up 69 yds on 26 attempts, which is 2.7 yds per rush allowed. New Mexico State gave up 27 pass completions on 39 tries for 244 yds, and a completion percentage of 69.2%. In all, they ran 57 plays which totaled 350 yards. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the rock 31 different times and accrued 95 yds, which had them averaging 3.1 yards per attempt.

The Aggies have racked up 1,559 total yards for the year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, New Mexico State has compiled 7 touchdowns through the air and 3 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 7 times. New Mexico State has a total of 87 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 34 penalties for 330 yards. As a team they're averaging 50.6 yards via the ground game which ranks them 136th in D-1. Concerning getting in the endzone, the New Mexico State Aggies are sitting at 22.2 points per game.

The Aggies are sitting in 60th in college football when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 22.8 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per attempt on the ground and 152.6 rushing yards per game for the year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 763 yards via the ground game in 5 contests. Concerning passing yards, the Aggies have given up 1,230 yds which has them ranked 52nd in the nation. They have allowed 246.0 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 66.9%. For the season, they are granting 398.6 yards per game putting them 107th in the nation. They have given up 9 touchdowns by air and 4 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Flames head into this matchup 2-4 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Flames took home the win by a final score of 19-8 against the UTEP Miners. Liberty relinquished 25 rushing attempts for 56 yards (2.2 yds per carry). The Flames passing defense conceded a completion rate of 48.1%, surrendering 111 yards on 13 for 27 passing. The Flames finished the contest with 403 yds and they ran 83 plays (4.9 yds per play). Liberty rushed the football for 3.2 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 160 yds on 50 attempts.

The Liberty Flames hold an average of 352.8 yards per game, ranking them 98th in D-1. The Liberty offense has totaled 289 yards of penalties on 36 infractions, which is good for 79th in the country in terms of hurting your team. They maintain an average of 166.0 run yards per game and have rushed for 996 yards in total. They have given away 4 picks while letting opponents recover 5 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 108 1st downs. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Flames are ranking 125th in the country averaging 17.3 PPG. During the season to this point, the Flames have thrown for 1,121 yards through the air together with holding an average of 186.8 passing yards per game, ranking them 105th in Division 1.

The Flames are giving up 20.7 points per game, which has them sitting 45th in college football. Liberty has surrendered a total of 1,181 yards via the ground game (196.8 yards per game) and 10 touchdowns on the ground for the campaign. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns from the passing game and 154.2 yards per outing, which puts them in 12th in the country. The Flames defense has been on the field for 383 plays, which has them sitting 45th in the nation. Their defense has tallied 4 fumbles and 5 interceptions this season. This season, they have relinquished 124 pts.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Flames college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aggies +10.5

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