New Mexico State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 9/27/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (-14.0)

Total/Over-Under: 55

The New Mexico State Aggies (2-1) are en route to University Stadium on Saturday, September 27, 2025 where they will meet the New Mexico Lobos (2-1). New Mexico opens as 14.0-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 55.

The New Mexico State Aggies step onto the field holding a record of 2-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Aggies stepped onto the field against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and took a loss by a score of 49-14. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the ball 17 different times and compiled 27 yds, earning them an average of 1.6 yds per attempt. Overall, they had 50 plays which gave them 308 yds. New Mexico State allowed 11 pass completions on 20 attempts for 221 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.0%. Against the rush, the Aggies conceded 353 yards on 65 attempts, which averages out to 5.4 yards per rush surrendered.

The Aggies have earned 905 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, New Mexico State has totaled 5 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 5 times. New Mexico State has compiled 51 first downs, and they have committed 23 infractions for 221 yards. As a team they average 47.7 yards in the run game which has them sitting 136th in Division 1. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the New Mexico State Aggies are sitting at 18.0 points per game.

The Aggies sit in 64th in college football concerning team defense, allowing 22.0 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.1 yards per running attempt and 187.3 rushing yards per contest so far this season. For the season, they have given up 562 rushing yards through 3 contests. Regarding passing yardage, the Aggies are giving up 642 yds which puts them in 38th in Division 1. They have relinquished 214.0 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 62.3%. In total, they have allowed 401.3 yards/outing ranking them 105th in D-1. They have relinquished 3 touchdowns by air and 4 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Lobos come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 this season. The last time they took the field, the Lobos got the victory with a final of 35-10 when they faced the UCLA Bruins. The Lobos finished with 450 yds and they ran 63 plays (7.1 yards per play). New Mexico ended up running for 6.5 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 298 yards on 46 attempts. New Mexico conceded 22 rushing attempts for 109 yards (5.0 yards per rush). The Lobos pass defense conceded a completion rate of 64.7%, relinquishing 217 yards on 22 for 34 through the air.

The New Mexico Lobos are averaging 362.7 yards per outing, which ranks them 93rd in the nation. The New Mexico offense has 47 yds of penalties on 7 violations, which ranks them 136th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They are averaging 188.0 yards per game on the ground and have run for 564 yards for the year. They have thrown 3 interceptions while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have obtained 63 1st downs. Regarding putting points on the board, the Lobos rank 80th in Division 1 averaging 28.0 PPG. During this campaign to this point, the Lobos have compiled 524 passing yards as well as holding an average of 174.7 passing yards per game, which ranks 113th in the nation.

The Lobos are conceding 22.0 points per contest, which has them 65th in college football. New Mexico has allowed the opposition a total of 431 yards rushing (143.7 yards per outing) in addition to 4 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have allowed 3 touchdowns through the air in addition to 244.3 yards/game, which has them ranked 101st in the country. The Lobos defense has participated in 189 plays, which has them ranked 21st in Division 1. Their defense has compiled 1 fumble recovered and 2 interceptions on the year. This year, they have allowed 66 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aggies +14.0

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