New Mexico State Aggies vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, 11/15/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Tennessee Volunteers

Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025

Location: Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, TN

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Volunteers (-39.5)

Total/Over-Under: 61.5

Neyland Stadium is the location where the Tennessee Volunteers (6-3) will go up against the New Mexico State Aggies (3-5) on Saturday, November 15, 2025. Tennessee opens this contest as 39.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 61.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies head into this matchup 3-5 for this season. In their last matchup, the Aggies played the Kennesaw State Owls and ended up losing by a score of 24-21. For the game, they ran 82 plays which gave them 316 yds. The New Mexico State Aggies ended up running the ball 36 different times and accounted for 75 yards, which earned them an average of 2.1 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Aggies gave up 208 yds on 44 attempts, which calculates to 4.7 yds per rush allowed. New Mexico State allowed 14 completions on 30 tries for a total of 219 yds, and a completion percentage of 46.7%.

The Aggies have racked up 2,414 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New Mexico State has totaled 10 touchdowns through the air and 5 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 14 different times. New Mexico State has tallied 144 first downs offensively, and they have committed 54 infractions for 499 yards. As a team they're maintaining an average of 68.4 yards in the run game which is 136th in the country. Regarding scoring, the New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 21.4 points per game.

When talking about passing yards, the Aggies have given up 1,993 yds which ranks them 87th in college football. They have conceded 249.1 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 67.2%. Over the course of this year, they are giving up 390.5 yards per game which puts them 93rd in D-1. They have given up 16 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 7 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition is running for 3.8 yards per rush and 141.4 yards on the ground per game so far this season. For the year, they have allowed 1,131 running yards through 8 contests. The Aggies are sitting in 78th in D-1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 25.4 points per contest.

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The Volunteers come into this game with a record of 6-3 this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Volunteers went home defeated by a final of 33-27 against the Oklahoma Sooners. The Volunteers finished the contest with a total of 456 yds while they ran 80 plays (5.7 yds per play). Tennessee rushed for 1.8 yds per attempt, finishing with 63 yds on 35 carries. Tennessee gave up 35 running attempts for 192 yds (5.5 yds per rush). The Volunteers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 65.5%, relinquishing 159 yds on 19 out of 29 through the air.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Volunteers currently sit 3rd in Division 1 by scoring 43.6 points per game. The Tennessee Volunteers have an average of 504.1 yards per outing, ranking them 3rd in the nation. The Tennessee offense has 527 yds of penalties on 63 infractions, which is good for 27th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 8 picks while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 241 first downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Volunteers have thrown for 2,964 passing yards in addition to an average of 329.3 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 2nd in college football. They are averaging 174.8 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,573 yards for this year.

Tennessee has surrendered a total of 1,274 rushing yards (141.6 yards per contest) in addition to 17 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have surrendered 16 touchdowns through the air as well as 254.3 yards per game, ranking them 115th in the nation. This season, they have relinquished 280 pts. Their defense has totaled 10 fumbles and 6 picks so far this year. The Volunteers defense has taken part in 661 plays, ranking them 132nd in the nation. The Volunteers are surrendering 31.1 PPG, which has them ranked 115th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Volunteers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Volunteers -39.5

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