Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/28/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Friday, November 28, 2025

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 62

Davis Wade Stadium is where the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-6) will play the Ole Miss Rebels (10-1) on Friday, November 28, 2025. Ole Miss is 7.0-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 62.

The Ole Miss Rebels head into this matchup 10-1 for this season. In their last game, the Rebels faced the Florida Gators and earned the victory with a final of 34-24. The Ole Miss Rebels ended up running the ball 48 times and accumulated 237 yards, which is an average of 4.9 yds per carry. For the game, they tallied 83 plays which converted into 538 yards. Ole Miss conceded 3 pass completions on 8 tries for a total of 23 yards, and a completion percentage of 37.5%. In the running game, the Rebels gave up 83 yds on 42 attempts, which averages out to 2.0 yards per run allowed.

The Rebels have earned 5,432 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Ole Miss has amassed 18 touchdowns via the pass and 31 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 times. Ole Miss has accumulated 278 first downs, and they have been called for 69 infractions for 649 yds. As a unit they're holding an average of 188.7 yards rushing giving them a rank of 30th in Division 1. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Ole Miss Rebels hold an average of 37.2 points per game.

The Rebels are sitting in 29th in D-1 in terms of team defense, giving up 20.2 points per game. They are giving up an average of 4.1 yards per rush and 140.4 rushing yards per contest on the campaign. During the season, they have allowed 1,544 rushing yards through 11 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Rebels are giving up 2,013 yds which has them ranked 22nd in the nation. They have conceded 183.0 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 57.0%. In total, they have given up 323.4 yards per game ranking them 30th in the country. They have conceded 13 touchdowns by air as well as 14 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bulldogs head into this matchup 5-6 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Bulldogs went home defeated by a final of 49-27 when they played the Missouri Tigers. Mississippi State rushed the football for 2.1 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 110 yds on 52 carries. The Bulldogs finished the game with 345 yds while running 90 plays (3.8 yards per play). The Bulldogs secondary conceded a completion rate of 60.0%, surrendering 264 yards on 18 out of 30 through the air. Mississippi State conceded 44 rush attempts for 303 yds (6.9 yards per rush).

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Bulldogs sit 43rd in Division 1 scoring 31.5 points per contest. The Mississippi State Bulldogs average 394.6 yards/game, which has them ranked 62nd in Division 1. The Mississippi State offense has totaled 673 penalty yards on 81 infractions, which ranks 19th in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 8 picks while surrendering 6 fumbles and they have tallied 243 first downs. For the year thus far, the Bulldogs have compiled 2,663 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 242.1 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 56th in the nation. They have an average of 152.5 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,678 yards in total.

The Bulldogs are relinquishing 28.4 points per game, which has them ranked 93rd in college football. Mississippi State has surrendered a total of 2,088 yards via the ground game (189.8 yards/game) in addition to 17 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the campaign. They have yielded 17 touchdowns through the air and 203.4 yards per contest, which has them sitting 44th in D-1. The Bulldogs defense has taken part in 750 plays, which has them ranked 96th in Division 1. They have compiled 6 fumbles recovered and 12 interceptions for the season. Overall, they have conceded 312 points.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rebels -7.0

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