San Diego State Aztecs vs Hawaii Warriors Prediction, 11/8/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Hawaii Warriors

Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025

Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, HI

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Warriors (+6.0)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex is the location where the Hawaii Warriors (6-2) will try to defeat the San Diego State Aztecs (6-1) on Saturday, November 8, 2025. San Diego State opens as 6.0-point favorites. The betting total is set at 50.5.

The San Diego State Aztecs head into this matchup 6-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Aztecs played the Wyoming Cowboys and earned the victory with a final of 24-7. For the game, they had 62 plays which gave them 390 yards. The San Diego State Aztecs ended up rushing 40 different times and compiled 196 yards, which came out to an average of 4.9 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Aztecs gave up 89 yds on 35 tries, which averages out to 2.5 yards per rush allowed. San Diego State allowed 13 pass completions on 27 attempts for a total of 96 yards, and a completion rate of 48.1%.

The Aztecs have racked up 2,937 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to notching touchdowns, San Diego State has earned 8 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 6 different times. San Diego State has tallied 149 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 53 infractions for 487 yards. Offensively they have an average of 185.6 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 37th in the country. In terms of scoring, the San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 28.9 PPG.

The Aztecs are ranked 2nd in Division 1 in terms of team defense, allowing 10.0 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 2.7 yards per rushing attempt and 88.5 yards on the ground per contest this year. Overall, they have given up 708 yards on the ground through 8 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Aztecs are allowing 1,262 yards which puts them in 8th in college football. They are giving up 157.8 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 50.6%. During this campaign, they are surrendering 246.3 yards per outing putting them at 6th in the nation. They have yielded 7 touchdowns via the pass as well as 2 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Warriors come into this game with a record of 6-2 this year. The last time they took the field, the Warriors went home defeated by a final of 45-38 when they faced the San Jose State Spartans. Hawaii rushed the football for 3.8 yards per carry, finishing with 95 yards on 25 carries. The Warriors finished the game with 496 yards and they ran 72 plays (6.9 yds per play). The Warriors passing defense conceded a completion rate of 50.0%, surrendering 458 yards on 20 out of 40 passing. Hawaii relinquished 28 rush attempts for 172 yards (6.1 yards per rush).

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Warriors currently rank 60th in the nation maintaining an average of 29.7 points per game. The Hawaii Warriors are averaging 410.0 yards/game, which has them ranked 52nd in the nation. The Hawaii offense has racked up 551 penalty yds on 64 infractions, which is 18th in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 9 interceptions while conceding 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 196 1st downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Warriors have thrown for a total of 2,768 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 307.6 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 7th in the country. They average 102.4 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 922 yards in total.

Hawaii has given up a total of 1,190 yards via the ground game (132.2 yards/game) in addition to 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this season. They have conceded 11 touchdowns through the air and 225.4 yards/game, which puts them in 74th in Division 1. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 231 pts. Their defense has totaled 3 fumbles and 5 picks so far this year. The Warriors defense has taken the field for 552 plays, which is 60th in Division 1. The Warriors are allowing 25.7 points per game, which puts them 81st in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Aztecs/Warriors college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aztecs -6.0

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