SMU Mustangs vs California Golden Bears Prediction, 11/29/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs California Golden Bears

Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025

Location: California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, CA

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Golden Bears (+13.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53

California Memorial Stadium is where the California Golden Bears (6-5) will take on the SMU Mustangs (8-3) on Saturday, November 29, 2025. SMU opens this contest as 13.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 53.

The SMU Mustangs head into this matchup 8-3 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Mustangs took the field against the Louisville Cardinals and earned the victory with a final of 38-6. The SMU Mustangs ended up running the ball 36 different times and accounted for 178 yds, which earned them an average of 4.9 yds per carry. For the game, they had 74 plays which gave them a total of 485 yards. SMU gave up 14 completions on 20 attempts for a total of 100 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.0%. Against the rush, the Mustangs conceded 128 yds on 29 attempts, which is an average of 4.4 yds per rush surrendered.

The Mustangs have earned 4,551 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to scoring, SMU has compiled 24 passing touchdowns and 19 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 15 times. SMU has 228 1st downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 76 infractions for 782 yds. As a team they're averaging 127.2 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 100th in the country. In terms of scoring, the SMU Mustangs have an average of 32.7 points per game.

Regarding passing yardage, the Mustangs are allowing 3,086 yds which has them ranked 134th in college football. They are giving up 280.5 yards per contest via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 58.9%. Over the course of this season, they have relinquished 385.0 yards per outing ranking them 81st in the nation. They have yielded 19 touchdowns through the air in addition to 4 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for 3.0 yards per running attempt and 104.5 yards on the ground per game so far this season. In total, they have allowed 1,150 running yards through 11 games. The Mustangs sit in 21st in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 19.1 PPG.

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The Golden Bears come into this game with a record of 6-5 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Golden Bears walked away with a loss by a score of 31-10 against the Stanford Cardinal. California surrendered 37 run attempts for 159 yds (4.3 yds per carry). The Golden Bears pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 50.0%, relinquishing 123 yards on 10 for 20 through the air. The Golden Bears finished the game with 297 yds while they ran 76 plays (3.9 yds per play). California rushed the ball for 0.5 yards per carry, finishing the game with 12 yds on 26 carries.

When it comes to how much they score, the Golden Bears currently rank 98th in the nation holding an average of 23.6 points per contest. The California Golden Bears hold an average of 337.8 yards/game, which has them ranked 106th in D-1. The California offense has racked up 683 yds of penalties on 86 violations, which has them ranked 6th in the nation in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 10 interceptions while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to earn 205 1st downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Golden Bears currently sit at 2,921 yards through the air as well as an average of 265.5 passing yards per outing, which ranks 32nd in the country. They hold an average of 72.4 rushing yards per game and have run for 796 yards for this year.

California has allowed a total of 1,716 yards on the ground (156.0 yards per contest) as well as 21 touchdowns rushing this season. They have given up 8 touchdowns through the air and 192.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 31st in D-1. This year, they have conceded 283 total points. Their defense has compiled 6 fumbles and 7 interceptions this season. The Golden Bears defense has taken part in 712 plays, ranking them 41st in D-1. The Golden Bears are allowing 25.7 points per contest, which has them 76th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Golden Bears college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mustangs -13.5

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