South Alabama Jaguars vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 9/27/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: South Alabama Jaguars vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: DATCU Stadium in Denton, TX

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Mean Green (-13.0)

Total/Over-Under: 63.5

The North Texas Mean Green (4-0) will go up against the South Alabama Jaguars (1-3) at DATCU Stadium on Saturday, September 27, 2025. South Alabama opens this contest as 13.0-point dogs. The total is set at 63.5.

The South Alabama Jaguars head into this matchup 1-3 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Jaguars played the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and ended up losing by a score of 38-20. In the running game, the Jaguars gave up 182 yards on 31 tries, which calculates to 5.9 yds per run allowed. South Alabama allowed 13 pass completions on 25 tries for 112 yards, and a completion rate of 52.0%. On the day, they tallied 80 plays which totaled 420 yds. The South Alabama Jaguars ran the football 44 different times and tallied 223 yds, which came out to an average of 5.1 yards per carry.

The Jaguars have earned 1,518 yards in total this year. In terms of notching touchdowns, South Alabama has amassed 6 touchdowns via the pass and 7 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 8 times. South Alabama has amassed 84 first downs, and they have been flagged for 23 penalties for 165 yds. As a team they maintain an average of 186.5 yards via the ground game which ranks them 53rd in Division 1. Regarding scoring points, the South Alabama Jaguars are averaging 26.0 PPG.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Jaguars have conceded 578 yds which puts them in 29th in the country. They have yielded 144.5 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 56.5%. During the season, they have yielded 340.8 yards/game which puts them 59th in Division 1. They have conceded 4 touchdowns through the air and 11 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing 5.1 yards per rush and 196.3 rushing yards per game on the season. For the season, they have allowed 785 running yards through 4 contests. The Jaguars are ranked 114th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, conceding 30.8 points per contest.

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The Mean Green come into this matchup with a record of 4-0 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Mean Green got the victory with a final of 45-38 when they played the Army Black Knights. North Texas relinquished 68 running attempts for 387 yds (5.7 yards per rush). The Mean Green secondary gave up a completion percentage of 42.9%, surrendering 101 yds on 6 for 14 passing. The Mean Green finished the game with a total of 478 yards on 78 plays (6.1 yards per play). North Texas rushed for 5.5 yds per carry, totaling 229 yds on 42 carries.

The North Texas Mean Green hold an average of 439.0 yards per game, which ranks them 42nd in the nation. The North Texas offense has compiled 196 penalty yards on 23 violations, which is 62nd in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They average 176.8 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 707 yards for the year. They have tossed 0 interceptions while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 102 first downs. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Mean Green sit 9th in D-1 with an average of 47.0 PPG. For the season to this point, the Mean Green have compiled 1,049 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 262.3 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 42nd in college football.

North Texas has conceded a total of 698 rushing yards (174.5 yards/game) and 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this season. They have given up 3 touchdowns through the air and 121.8 yards per outing, which has them sitting 11th in the nation. This season, they have allowed 78 total points. They have earned 5 fumbles recovered and 5 picks this year. The Mean Green defense has participated in 270 plays, which ranks 90th in college football. The Mean Green are allowing 19.5 PPG, which has them 47th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Mean Green college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jaguars +13.0

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