South Alabama Jaguars vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: South Alabama Jaguars vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, AL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Trojans (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47

The South Alabama Jaguars (1-4) are headed to Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025 where they will compete against the Troy Trojans (2-2). Troy opens this game as 2.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 47.

The South Alabama Jaguars step onto the field holding a record of 1-4 for this season. In their last game, the Jaguars took the field against the North Texas Mean Green and took a loss by a score of 36-22. Against the run, the Jaguars gave up 195 yds on 39 attempts, which is an average of 5.0 yards per rush allowed. South Alabama relinquished 14 completions on 26 tries for a total of 234 yds, and a completion rate of 53.8%. When all was said and done, they ran 80 plays which gave them 396 yds. The South Alabama Jaguars ran the football 45 times and totaled 204 yds, which is an average of 4.5 yards per tote.

The Jaguars have earned 1,914 yards in total for the year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, South Alabama has amassed 7 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 9 times. South Alabama has compiled 102 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 31 infractions for 245 yards. Offensively they are averaging 190.0 yards in the run game which has them sitting 43rd in college football. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the South Alabama Jaguars hold an average of 25.2 points per outing.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Jaguars are giving up 812 yards which has them sitting in 38th in the nation. They have given up 162.4 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 55.9%. Overall, they have surrendered 358.4 yards per outing putting them at 69th in Division 1. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns via the pass and 15 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition is running for 5.1 yards per tote and 196.0 rushing yards per game this season. Overall, they have conceded 980 running yards through 5 games. The Jaguars are ranked 121st in Division 1 in terms of the opposition scoring, allowing 31.8 points per game.

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The Trojans come into this game with a record of 2-2 this year. The last time they took the field, the Trojans walked away with a victory by a final of 21-17 against the Buffalo Bulls. Troy ended up running for 3.5 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 163 yards on 47 attempts. The Trojans finished the game with 365 yards while running 83 plays (4.4 yards per play). The Trojans secondary gave up a completion rate of 50.0%, relinquishing 153 yards on 14 for 28 passing. Troy conceded 34 rushing attempts for 125 yds (3.7 yds per carry).

The Troy Trojans average 298.5 yards/game, ranking them 128th in Division 1. The Troy offense has racked up 277 yards of penalties on 27 violations, ranking them 65th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They hold an average of 138.3 run yards per game and have rushed for 553 yards for this season. They have given away 5 interceptions while surrendering 1 fumble and they have been able to obtain 73 first downs. When looking at their scoring prowess, the Trojans are 112th in college football with an average of 20.5 PPG. During this campaign to this point, the Trojans have compiled 641 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 160.3 passing yards per outing, ranking them 120th in college football.

Troy has conceded a total of 527 rushing yards (131.8 yards per game) and 7 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have given up 4 touchdowns through the air and 186.5 yards per contest, which has them sitting 45th in college football. In total, they have surrendered 92 total points. Their defense has tallied 2 fumbles and 2 picks on the season. The Trojans defense has taken the field for 241 plays, which ranks 17th in the nation. The Trojans are surrendering 23.0 points per contest, which has them sitting 65th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Trojans college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Trojans -2.5

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