TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, 10/11/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025

Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, KS

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Wildcats (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 57.5

The TCU Horned Frogs (4-1) are hitting the road to Bill Snyder Family Stadium on Saturday, October 11, 2025 where they will take on the Kansas State Wildcats (2-4). Kansas State opens this matchup as 1.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 57.5.

The TCU Horned Frogs come into this matchup with a record of 4-1 for this year. In their last game, the Horned Frogs played the Colorado Buffaloes and walked away with a win by a score of 35-21. The TCU Horned Frogs ended up rushing 35 different times and tallied 94 yds, which is an average of 2.7 yards per tote. In all, they tallied 68 plays which gave them a total of 369 yds. TCU conceded 18 pass completions on 30 tries for a total of 217 yards, and a completion rate of 60.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Horned Frogs conceded 126 yards on 35 attempts, which is 3.6 yds per rush allowed.

When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the TCU Horned Frogs have an average of 36.8 points per game. As a unit they're averaging 125.6 yards in the run game which is 106th in Division 1. The Horned Frogs have earned 2,186 total yards over the course of this season. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, TCU has totaled 15 touchdowns through the air and 8 rushing touchdowns. TCU has accrued 115 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 33 penalties for 326 yds. They have surrendered the ball 6 times.

In terms of passing yards, the Horned Frogs are giving up 1,246 yards which puts them in 95th in Division 1. They are allowing 249.2 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 66.2%. Over the course of this season, they are allowing 378.8 yards per game which has them sitting 85th in college football. They have surrendered 10 touchdowns by air and 4 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt and 129.6 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. In total, they have conceded 648 rushing yards through 5 games. The Horned Frogs are sitting in 57th in the nation regarding their opponents scoring, giving up 21.4 PPG.

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The Wildcats come into this matchup with a record of 2-4 for this season. In their last game, the Wildcats took a loss by a score of 35-34 against the Baylor Bears. The Wildcats finished the contest with a total of 501 yds while running 82 plays (6.1 yards per play). Kansas State rushed the football for 4.5 yards per carry, finishing the game with 162 yds on 36 attempts. Kansas State conceded 25 run attempts for 98 yds (3.9 yards per rush). The Wildcats secondary conceded a completion rate of 64.1%, relinquishing 345 yards on 25 out of 39 passing.

When discussing putting points on the board, the Wildcats are ranking 78th in the nation holding an average of 27.5 points per game. The Kansas State Wildcats hold an average of 369.7 yards per contest, which is good for 79th in college football. The Kansas State offense has 194 yds of penalties on 18 violations, which has them ranked 133rd in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 3 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to record 107 1st downs. Over the course of the season so far, the Wildcats currently have a total of 1,358 yards via the pass as well as an average of 226.3 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 73rd in the country. They have an average of 143.3 yards per game via the rush and have run for 860 yards for the year.

The Wildcats are relinquishing 26.8 points per game, which has them sitting 93rd in the nation. Kansas State has given up a total of 1,006 yards via the ground game (167.7 yards per game) and 11 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. They have allowed 7 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 208.3 yards/game, which puts them in 61st in college football. The Wildcats defense has been on the field for 430 plays, which is 132nd in Division 1. They have earned 6 fumbles recovered and 4 picks this year. This year, they have given up 161 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Horned Frogs/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wildcats +1.5

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