Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 9/27/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 62

Davis Wade Stadium is where the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0) will attempt to defeat the Tennessee Volunteers (3-1) on Saturday, September 27, 2025. Mississippi State opens as 7.5-point dogs. The over/under is 62.

The Tennessee Volunteers come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 for this season. In their last game, the Volunteers played the UAB Blazers and took home the win by a score of 56-24. The Tennessee Volunteers ended up running the ball 43 times and tallied 235 yds, which earned them an average of 5.5 yards per attempt. In all, they had 73 plays which gave them a total of 510 yds. Tennessee relinquished 39 completions on 52 tries for 371 yds, and a completion percentage of 75.0%. In the running game, the Volunteers gave up 23 yards on 19 attempts, which averages out to 1.2 yds per run allowed.

Concerning scoring points, the Tennessee Volunteers hold an average of 53.5 points per contest. As a team they average 216.3 yards in the run game which is 27th in Division 1. The Volunteers have attained 2,216 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Tennessee has earned 14 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns via the ground. Tennessee has 115 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 28 infractions for 242 yds. They have surrendered the ball 6 times.

The Volunteers sit in 100th in the nation regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 27.8 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.6 yards per rush and 93.3 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have allowed 373 yards via the ground game in 4 outings. When talking about yards through the air, the Volunteers are giving up 1,116 yds which has them sitting in 127th in the country. They have allowed 279.0 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 67.0%. Overall, they have relinquished 372.3 yards per game ranking them 85th in the country. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 8 touchdowns via the ground game.

Get all of our Free College Football Picks

The Bulldogs step onto the field holding a record of 4-0 for this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Bulldogs went home victorious with a score of 38-10 against the NIU Huskies. The Bulldogs finished the contest with a total of 452 yards while running 69 plays (6.6 yds per play). Mississippi State ran the ball for 6.0 yds per carry, finishing with 292 yds on 49 carries. Mississippi State allowed 27 attempts on the ground for 125 yds (4.6 yards per rush). The Bulldogs pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 60.0%, relinquishing 142 yards on 15 out of 25 through the air.

When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Bulldogs are sitting 27th in the nation with 39.8 points per game. The Mississippi State Bulldogs average 444.0 yards/outing, which is good for 39th in the nation. The Mississippi State offense has accrued 356 penalty yards on 41 violations, which is 2nd in the country in terms of helping out the other team. They have thrown 2 interceptions while losing 0 fumbles and they have been able to earn 87 first downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Bulldogs have compiled 950 passing yards along with holding an average of 237.5 passing yards per contest, which ranks 66th in D-1. They hold an average of 206.5 yards per game via the rush and have run for 826 yards for this year.

The Bulldogs are surrendering 11.8 PPG, which has them ranked 16th in D-1. Mississippi State has surrendered a total of 546 yards rushing (136.5 yards per contest) and 1 touchdown by way of the ground game for the season. They have given up 4 touchdowns through the air and 129.0 yards per contest, which has them in 14th in D-1. The Bulldogs defense has been on the field for 248 plays, which is good for 68th in the country. They have earned 2 fumbles and 5 picks for the season. Overall, they have relinquished 47 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Volunteers/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Volunteers -7.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here