Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Gators (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Texas Longhorns (3-1) are hitting the road to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025 where they will compete against the Florida Gators (1-3). Florida opens this matchup as 6.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 43.5.

The Texas Longhorns head into this matchup 3-1 for this year. In their last game, the Longhorns took on the Sam Houston Bearkats and took home the win by a score of 55-0. The Texas Longhorns ended up rushing 41 different times and recorded 264 yards, which is an average of 6.4 yards per tote. When all was said and done, they ran 69 plays which totaled 607 yards. Texas conceded 13 pass completions on 25 tries for a total of 86 yds, and a completion percentage of 52.0%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Longhorns conceded 27 yds on 26 attempts, which calculates to 1.0 yards per run allowed.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Texas Longhorns are averaging 31.8 points per game. As a team they are averaging 202.8 yards in the run game which has them sitting 37th in the country. The Longhorns have earned 1,755 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Texas has amassed 9 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. Texas has recorded 83 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 34 infractions for 313 yards. They have surrendered the ball 4 different times.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Longhorns have given up 605 yds which puts them in 11th in D-1. They have conceded 151.3 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 57.4%. For the season, they are surrendering 211.0 yards/contest ranking them 4th in the nation. They have conceded 1 touchdown via the pass as well as 3 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing 2.1 yards per run and 59.8 rushing yards per game so far this year. For the year, they have allowed 239 yards via the running game in 4 games. The Longhorns are sitting in 2nd in the nation when it comes to team defense, allowing 7.8 points per game.

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The Gators step onto the field holding a record of 1-3 for this season. In their last game, the Gators took a loss by a final score of 26-7 against the Miami Hurricanes. Florida gave up 46 rushing attempts for 184 yds (4.0 yds per carry). The Gators secondary gave up a completion rate of 56.7%, relinquishing 160 yards on 17 out of 30 through the air. The Gators finished the game with 141 yards while running 52 plays (2.7 yds per play). Florida rushed for 2.8 yards per tote, finishing the game with 80 yds on 29 carries.

The Florida Gators maintain an average of 328.3 yards per game, which is good for 115th in the nation. The Florida offense has racked up 180 yds of penalties on 21 infractions, which ranks 104th in the country in terms of making mistakes. They are averaging 123.0 run yards per game and have rushed for 492 yards for this year. They have thrown 6 picks while conceding no fumbles and they have been able to tally 78 1st downs. When discussing their scoring prowess, the Gators are 99th in the country with an average of 22.0 PPG. For the season thus far, the Gators have thrown for a total of 821 yards via the pass as well as an average of 205.3 passing yards per contest, putting them at 90th in college football.

Florida has conceded a total of 445 rushing yards (111.3 yards per outing) in addition to 3 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have allowed 2 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 173.0 yards per outing, which puts them in 32nd in college football. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 64 points in total. They have earned 2 fumbles recovered and 2 interceptions on the campaign. The Gators defense has participated in 236 plays, which has them ranked 11th in college football. The Gators are giving up 16.0 PPG, which has them sitting 24th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Longhorns/Gators college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Gators +6.5

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