Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 10/25/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The Texas Longhorns (5-2) are headed to Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday, October 25, 2025 where they will attempt to beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3). Texas opens this matchup as 7.0-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 45.

The Texas Longhorns head into this matchup 5-2 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Longhorns played the Kentucky Wildcats and notched a win by a score of 16-13. The Texas Longhorns ended up rushing 28 different times and tallied 47 yds, earning them an average of 1.7 yards per carry. For the game, they had 55 plays which converted into 179 yds. Texas allowed 31 pass completions on 40 attempts for 258 yds, and a completion rate of 77.5%. When it came to stopping the run, the Longhorns conceded 137 yards on 46 tries, which is 3.0 yards per run allowed.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Texas Longhorns have an average of 26.7 PPG. As a team they have an average of 149.4 yards on the ground which is 74th in Division 1. The Longhorns have earned 2,577 yards in total this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Texas has compiled 12 touchdowns through the air and 9 touchdowns via the ground. Texas has recorded 122 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 55 penalties for 464 yards. They have turned the ball over 6 times.

In terms of passing yards, the Longhorns have given up 1,371 yds which ranks them 42nd in D-1. They are allowing 195.9 yards per contest through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 62.4%. Overall, they have relinquished 279.1 yards per game ranking them 12th in the nation. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns by air as well as 5 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 2.6 yards per run and 83.3 yards on the ground per contest this season. Overall, they have allowed 583 rushing yards through 7 games. The Longhorns rank 3rd in the nation concerning team defense, giving up 11.3 points per game.

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The Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 4-3 this season. The last time they took the field, the Bulldogs took a defeat with a final score of 23-21 against the Florida Gators. Mississippi State surrendered 34 attempts on the ground for 172 yards (5.1 yards per carry). The Bulldogs secondary allowed a completion percentage of 58.8%, surrendering 280 yds on 20 for 34 through the air. The Bulldogs finished the game with 468 yds while they ran 80 plays (5.9 yds per play). Mississippi State rushed for 3.3 yards per attempt, totaling 144 yards on 44 carries.

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Bulldogs currently sit 50th in Division 1 by tallying 31.9 points per outing. The Mississippi State Bulldogs average 405.9 yards per game, ranking them 59th in the nation. The Mississippi State offense has compiled 522 penalty yds on 57 infractions, which ranks 11th in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 5 picks while allowing opponents to recover 3 fumbles and they have earned 147 1st downs. For the year so far, the Bulldogs have thrown for a total of 1,591 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 227.3 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 70th in D-1. They hold an average of 178.6 run yards per game and have run for 1,250 yards for the year.

The Bulldogs are allowing 20.3 points per game, ranking them 38th in D-1. Mississippi State has given up a total of 1,148 rushing yards (164.0 yards per outing) and 7 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have conceded 7 touchdowns through the air and 187.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 30th in the country. The Bulldogs defense has taken the field for 465 plays, which is good for 74th in the country. Their defense has 3 fumbles recovered and 10 picks on the campaign. Overall, they have surrendered 142 points.

Who will win tonight's Longhorns/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Longhorns -7.0

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