Troy Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 10/11/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025

Location: UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bobcats (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

UFCU Stadium is the location where the Texas State Bobcats (3-2) will try to beat the Troy Trojans (3-2) on Saturday, October 11, 2025. Texas State opens as 10.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 54.5.

The Troy Trojans come into this game with a record of 3-2 for this season. In their last game, the Trojans went up against the South Alabama Jaguars and took home the win by a score of 31-24. The Troy Trojans ran the ball a total of 45 times and accounted for 217 yds, which is an average of 4.8 yds per attempt. When all was said and done, they ran 66 plays which totaled 420 yds. Troy surrendered 10 completions on 15 tries for a total of 104 yds, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. Against the rush, the Trojans conceded 265 yards on 56 attempts, which is an average of 4.7 yds per rush allowed.

The Trojans have earned 1,614 total yards for the year. When it comes to scoring, Troy has earned 7 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the ball 8 times. Troy has accounted for 93 first downs as a team, and they have committed 30 infractions for 292 yds. As a team they average 154.0 yards on the ground which is 72nd in the country. Regarding putting points on the board, the Troy Trojans are averaging 22.6 points per outing.

Regarding passing yards, the Trojans are allowing 850 yds which puts them in 21st in Division 1. They have given up 170.0 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 66.1%. Over the course of this season, they have relinquished 328.4 yards per outing putting them 47th in the nation. They have conceded 6 touchdowns via the pass and 8 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing 4.1 yards per attempt on the ground and 158.4 rushing yards per contest this year. During the season, they have given up 792 yards via the ground game in 5 games. The Trojans are ranked 66th in the nation when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 23.2 points per game.

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The Bobcats head into this game 3-2 for this season. In their last game, the Bobcats took a loss by a final score of 31-30 against the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Texas State ran the ball for 6.3 yards per tote, finishing with 289 yds on 46 carries. The Bobcats finished the game with 519 yards while they ran 72 plays (7.2 yards per play). The Bobcats secondary gave up a completion rate of 77.1%, relinquishing 248 yds on 27 out of 35 passing. Texas State gave up 34 run attempts for 150 yards (4.4 yards per rush).

The Texas State Bobcats hold an average of 456.6 yards/game, ranking them 24th in D-1. The Texas State offense has 249 yds of penalties on 27 violations, which ranks them 103rd in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. They maintain an average of 235.0 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,175 yards for the year. They have thrown 1 interception while losing 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 116 first downs. Regarding their ability to score points, the Bobcats are sitting 41st in Division 1 averaging 35.0 PPG. For the year to this point, the Bobcats have thrown for a total of 1,108 yards via the pass along with an average of 221.6 passing yards per outing, ranking them 78th in Division 1.

The Bobcats are surrendering 26.2 points per contest, which has them sitting 88th in Division 1. Texas State has surrendered a total of 910 yards on the ground (182.0 yards per game) and 9 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the campaign. They have allowed the opposition 7 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 200.0 yards/game, which has them ranked 53rd in the nation. The Bobcats defense has participated in 344 plays, which has them ranked 75th in D-1. They have totaled 0 fumbles recovered and 1 pick so far this year. In total, they have conceded 131 points.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Bobcats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Trojans +10.5

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