UCF Knights vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, 11/15/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs Texas Tech Red Raiders

Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025

Location: Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Red Raiders (-23.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The UCF Knights (4-5) are en route to Jones AT&T Stadium on Saturday, November 15, 2025 where they will try to defeat the Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-1). UCF opens as 23.5-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 48.5.

The UCF Knights step onto the field holding a record of 4-5 for this year. In their last game, the Knights faced off with the Houston Cougars and took a loss by a score of 30-27. Against the run, the Knights conceded 210 yards on 49 attempts, which is an average of 4.3 yds per rush surrendered. UCF surrendered 20 completions on 31 tries for 223 yds, and a completion rate of 64.5%. On the day, they had 60 plays which converted into 282 yards. The UCF Knights ran the football 30 different times and tallied 146 yds, which earned them an average of 4.9 yards per carry.

The Knights have racked up 3,623 total yards for the year. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, UCF has earned 6 passing touchdowns and 19 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the ball 12 different times. UCF has 174 first downs, and they have committed 68 infractions for 535 yards. Offensively they are averaging 186.3 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 34th in the nation. Regarding scoring points, the UCF Knights are averaging 27.2 points per contest.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Knights have given up 1,514 yds which has them ranked 19th in Division 1. They have yielded 168.2 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 61.5%. During this campaign, they have yielded 321.7 yards per outing which puts them 30th in Division 1. They have conceded 10 touchdowns through the air as well as 9 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up an average of 3.9 yards per run and 153.4 yards on the ground per contest for the campaign. During the season, they have conceded 1,381 running yards through 9 contests. The Knights rank 28th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 20.0 PPG.

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The Red Raiders come into this matchup with a record of 8-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Red Raiders went home victorious with a score of 29-7 against the BYU Cougars. Texas Tech conceded 27 rush attempts for 67 yds (2.5 yds per rush). The Red Raiders secondary conceded a completion rate of 60.5%, surrendering 188 yds on 23 out of 38 through the air. The Red Raiders finished the game with 368 yds while running 75 plays (4.9 yds per play). Texas Tech rushed for 3.5 yards per tote, totaling 149 yds on 43 attempts.

When discussing putting points on the board, the Red Raiders are sitting 4th in Division 1 with 43.6 points per contest. The Texas Tech Red Raiders maintain an average of 492.3 yards/game, which is good for 5th in college football. The Texas Tech offense has 528 penalty yds on 62 violations, which is good for 31st in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 7 picks while conceding 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 214 first downs. During the season thus far, the Red Raiders currently have a total of 2,650 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 294.4 throwing yards per outing, which has them sitting 14th in the country. They hold an average of 197.9 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,781 yards for this year.

The Red Raiders are conceding 13.2 points per game, which has them sitting 5th in the country. Texas Tech has allowed a total of 671 yards via the ground game (74.6 yards per outing) in addition to 5 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have given up 9 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 196.8 yards/outing, which has them ranked 37th in Division 1. The Red Raiders defense has participated in 596 plays, which is 96th in the nation. They have totaled 10 fumbles and 10 picks this season. Overall, they have given up 119 pts.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Red Raiders college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Raiders -23.5

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