UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 12/5/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Friday, December 5, 2025

Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 59

Albertsons Stadium is the location where the Boise State Broncos (8-4) will try to beat the UNLV Rebels (10-2) on Friday, December 5, 2025 in the Mountain West Championship. Boise State opens this matchup as 4.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 59.

The UNLV Rebels step onto the field holding a record of 10-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Rebels took on the Nevada Wolf Pack and notched a win by a score of 42-17. The UNLV Rebels ran the rock 33 different times and compiled 226 yds, which came out to an average of 6.8 yards per tote. In all, they tallied 55 plays which gave them 496 yds. UNLV relinquished 23 completions on 34 tries for 148 yards, and a completion rate of 67.6%. When it came to stopping the run, the Rebels conceded 193 yards on 33 attempts, which calculates to 5.8 yards per rush surrendered.

The Rebels have earned 5,560 total yards for the season. In terms of notching touchdowns, UNLV has totaled 23 passing touchdowns and 30 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 14 different times. UNLV has compiled 286 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 94 penalties for 817 yds. As a team they average 204.7 yards in the run game ranking them 17th in Division 1. In terms of scoring points, the UNLV Rebels are averaging 37.2 points per game.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Rebels have given up 2,952 yards which has them sitting in 113th in D-1. They have conceded 246.0 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 59.6%. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 421.5 yards/game ranking them 118th in the nation. They have granted 20 touchdowns via the pass and 20 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up 5.3 yards per rushing attempt and 175.5 rushing yards per contest this season. Overall, they have given up 2,106 yards via the ground game in 12 games. The Rebels are sitting in 89th in the nation concerning team defense, giving up 28.1 PPG.

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The Broncos come into this game with a record of 8-4 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Broncos got the victory with a final of 25-24 when they faced the Utah State Aggies. The Broncos finished the contest with 512 yards while running 95 plays (5.4 yds per play). Boise State ran for 3.7 yards per carry, finishing with 171 yards on 46 carries. Boise State gave up 34 run attempts for 221 yds (6.5 yards per carry). The Broncos passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 40.6%, relinquishing 184 yds on 13 for 32 passing.

The Boise State Broncos have an average of 430.4 yards per game, which ranks them 27th in Division 1. The Boise State offense has accrued 782 yds of penalties on 88 violations, which ranks 20th in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. They are averaging 189.8 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 2,278 yards overall. They have given away 10 interceptions while surrendering 7 fumbles and they have been able to record 274 first downs. In terms of their scoring prowess, the Broncos are ranking 42nd in college football by tallying 30.8 points per game. During this campaign so far, the Broncos have compiled 2,887 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 240.6 passing yards per outing, ranking them 57th in the nation.

The Broncos are giving up 23.2 PPG, ranking them 55th in the nation. Boise State has surrendered a total of 1,948 rushing yards (162.3 yards/game) and 22 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the campaign. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 167.1 yards/game, ranking them 11th in college football. The Broncos defense has been on the field for 738 plays, which has them ranked 21st in Division 1. They have compiled 7 fumbles and 14 interceptions on the season. Overall, they have given up 278 points.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Broncos -4.5

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