USC Trojans vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 12/30/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: USC Trojans vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Location: Alamodome in San Antonio, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Horned Frogs (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

Alamodome is the location where the TCU Horned Frogs (8-4) will play the USC Trojans (9-3) on Tuesday, December 30, 2025 in the Valero Alamo Bowl. USC opens this contest as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under is 55.5.

The USC Trojans come into this matchup with a record of 9-3 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Trojans went up against the UCLA Bruins and went home with a win by a final score of 29-10. The USC Trojans ran the ball a total of 26 different times and amassed 131 yards, earning them an average of 5.0 yds per carry. At the end of the game, they ran 55 plays which gave them a total of 388 yards. USC gave up 27 completions on 38 tries for a total of 200 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.1%. In the running game, the Trojans conceded 108 yards on 26 attempts, which is an average of 4.2 yds per rush surrendered.

The Trojans have earned 5,659 total yards for the year. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, USC has compiled 25 touchdowns via the pass and 28 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 14 times. USC has a total of 289 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 71 infractions for 670 yds. As a unit they're averaging 174.3 yards on the ground which ranks them 52nd in D-1. Concerning getting in the endzone, the USC Trojans are averaging 36.5 PPG.

Regarding passing yardage, the Trojans are conceding 2,440 yards which puts them in 36th in the nation. They are conceding 203.3 yards per game via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 65.1%. Over the course of this year, they have given up 348.8 yards per game which puts them 47th in Division 1. They have yielded 22 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 145.4 rushing yards per game so far this season. In total, they have conceded 1,745 yards via the ground game in 12 contests. The Trojans are ranked 47th in the nation concerning team defense, allowing 22.4 PPG.

Get all of our College Football Picks

The Horned Frogs head into this matchup 8-4 for this season. In their last game, the Horned Frogs walked away with a victory by a final of 45-23 against the Cincinnati Bearcats. The Horned Frogs finished the contest with 544 yards on 74 plays (7.4 yards per play). TCU ran the ball for 4.6 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 238 yds on 52 carries. TCU gave up 19 attempts on the ground for 115 yds (6.1 yards per carry). The Horned Frogs secondary conceded a completion percentage of 69.7%, surrendering 282 yards on 23 for 33 through the air.

Regarding how much they score, the Horned Frogs are sitting 43rd in college football by tallying 30.8 points per game. The TCU Horned Frogs maintain an average of 425.3 yards per game, which has them ranked 27th in the country. The TCU offense has totaled 725 yds of penalties on 78 violations, which is good for 55th in the country in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 14 interceptions while surrendering 5 fumbles and they have been able to record 268 1st downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Horned Frogs have thrown for 3,514 passing yards in addition to an average of 292.8 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 8th in college football. They maintain an average of 132.6 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,591 yards for the year.

TCU has yielded a total of 1,612 yards rushing (134.3 yards per contest) in addition to 10 touchdowns rushing so far this season. They have allowed 24 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 242.8 yards/outing, which has them sitting 109th in D-1. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 302 points. Their defense has tallied 7 fumbles and 12 picks for the season. The Horned Frogs defense has participated in 828 plays, which is good for 86th in the country. The Horned Frogs are allowing 25.2 points per game, which puts them 72nd in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Horned Frogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Trojans -6.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college football picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.