Utah State Aggies vs Hawaii Warriors Prediction, 10/11/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs Hawaii Warriors

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025

Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, HI

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Warriors (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex is the location where the Hawaii Warriors (4-2) will take on the Utah State Aggies (3-2) on Saturday, October 11, 2025. Hawaii opens this contest as 1.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 58.5.

The Utah State Aggies head into this matchup 3-2 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Aggies took on the Vanderbilt Commodores and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 55-35. Overall, they tallied 63 plays which gave them a total of 393 yds. The Utah State Aggies ended up rushing 25 times and had 119 yds, which had them averaging 4.8 yards per attempt. In the running game, the Aggies gave up 222 yds on 30 tries, which averages out to 7.4 yards per run surrendered. Utah State gave up 26 pass completions on 35 tries for a total of 321 yds, and a completion percentage of 74.3%.

The Aggies have racked up 2,103 total yards for the season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Utah State has totaled 14 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 4 times. Utah State has earned 106 first downs as a team, and they have committed 36 penalties for 258 yds. As a team they hold an average of 168.8 yards in the run game ranking them 60th in college football. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Utah State Aggies hold an average of 36.4 points per game.

The Aggies are ranked 111th in college football when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 30.4 PPG. They are allowing 4.4 yards per rush and 187.0 rushing yards per game for the season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 935 yards via the running game in 5 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Aggies are allowing 1,130 yds which puts them in 62nd in the country. They have allowed 226.0 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 59.2%. Overall, they are giving up 413.0 yards per game which ranks them 114th in Division 1. They have yielded 11 touchdowns by air and 9 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Warriors come into this game with a record of 4-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Warriors walked away with a victory by a final of 44-35 when they faced the Air Force Falcons. Hawaii conceded 34 run attempts for 216 yds (6.4 yards per rush). The Warriors pass defense allowed a completion rate of 76.9%, surrendering 278 yards on 10 for 13 passing. The Warriors finished with a total of 535 yards while running 78 plays (6.9 yards per play). Hawaii rushed the ball for 2.5 yards per attempt, finishing with 78 yards on 31 carries.

The Hawaii Warriors are averaging 368.8 yards/outing, which has them sitting 80th in D-1. The Hawaii offense has compiled 404 yards of penalties on 45 violations, which has them sitting 5th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They are averaging 93.3 yards per game on the ground and have run for 560 yards for this year. They have thrown 7 interceptions while conceding 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 129 1st downs. Regarding their ability to score points, the Warriors currently sit 86th in D-1 maintaining an average of 25.7 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Warriors have thrown for a total of 1,653 passing yards along with holding an average of 275.5 throwing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 32nd in the nation.

Hawaii has allowed a total of 767 yards via the ground game (127.8 yards per outing) and 8 touchdowns on the ground on the year. They have allowed 6 touchdowns through the air and 187.7 yards/outing, which has them sitting 43rd in Division 1. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 141 pts. They have 1 fumble recovered and 4 interceptions over the course of the season. The Warriors defense has taken part in 355 plays, which ranks 94th in D-1. The Warriors are giving up 23.5 PPG, ranking them 69th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Warriors college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Warriors -1.5

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