Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 10/25/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (-3.0)

Total/Over-Under: 61.5

The Utah State Aggies (4-3) are on their way to University Stadium on Saturday, October 25, 2025 where they will try to beat the New Mexico Lobos (4-3). Utah State opens this contest as 3.0-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 61.5.

The Utah State Aggies come into this matchup with a record of 4-3 this season. The last time they took the field, the Aggies went up against the San Jose State Spartans and went home with a win by a final score of 30-25. When all was said and done, they ran 70 plays for 461 yards. The Utah State Aggies ended up rushing 38 times and recorded 130 yds, which earned them an average of 3.4 yds per carry. Against the run, the Aggies conceded 194 yards on 27 tries, which calculates to 7.2 yards per rush allowed. Utah State conceded 27 completions on 50 tries for a total of 340 yards, and a completion rate of 54.0%.

The Aggies have earned 2,999 total yards this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Utah State has earned 17 touchdowns via the pass and 14 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 6 different times. Utah State has a total of 145 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 53 penalties for 396 yds. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 162.9 yards on the ground which has them sitting 60th in the country. In terms of getting in the endzone, the Utah State Aggies have an average of 34.0 points per contest.

The Aggies sit in 120th in the country when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 31.6 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.7 yards per tote and 180.3 rushing yards per game so far this season. Over the course of this year, they have given up 1,262 rushing yards through 7 games. Regarding yards via the pass, the Aggies have given up 1,883 yds which puts them in 125th in D-1. They have conceded 269.0 yards per contest through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 59.0%. Over the course of this year, they are conceding 449.3 yards/outing which has them ranked 128th in the nation. They have yielded 16 touchdowns through the air as well as 12 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Lobos step onto the field holding a record of 4-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Lobos took home the win by a final score of 24-22 when they faced the Nevada Wolf Pack. New Mexico ended up running for 5.0 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 210 yards on 42 carries. The Lobos finished the game with a total of 348 yards while running 64 plays (5.4 yds per play). The Lobos secondary conceded a completion percentage of 79.3%, surrendering 202 yards on 23 for 29 through the air. New Mexico gave up 28 run attempts for 55 yards (2.0 yards per carry).

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Lobos are sitting 73rd in the nation by scoring 28.4 points per game. The New Mexico Lobos are averaging 366.1 yards/outing, which has them sitting 86th in college football. The New Mexico offense has accrued 288 yards of penalties on 38 infractions, which is good for 98th in the country in terms of helping out the other team. They have thrown 8 picks while letting opponents recover 8 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 149 first downs. For the season so far, the Lobos have earned 1,532 yards via the pass as well as an average of 218.9 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 78th in the country. They have an average of 147.3 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,031 yards for the year.

The Lobos are allowing 26.3 points per game, ranking them 85th in Division 1. New Mexico has given up a total of 815 yards rushing (116.4 yards per game) in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. They have yielded 10 touchdowns via the pass as well as 255.3 yards per outing, ranking them 116th in D-1. The Lobos defense has participated in 466 plays, which ranks them 79th in the nation. They have totaled 1 fumble recovered and 3 interceptions so far this season. Overall, they have conceded 184 total points.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Lobos -3.0

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