Utah State Aggies vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, 11/15/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs UNLV Rebels

Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 71

The UNLV Rebels (6-2) will play the Utah State Aggies (4-4) at Allegiant Stadium on Saturday, November 15, 2025. UNLV opens this matchup as 4.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 71.

The Utah State Aggies head into this game 4-4 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Aggies went up against the Nevada Wolf Pack and notched a win by a score of 51-14. The Utah State Aggies ran the ball 40 times and tallied 145 yds, which came out to an average of 3.6 yards per tote. On the day, they had 75 plays which gave them 522 yds. Utah State conceded 10 completions on 24 attempts for a total of 122 yds, and a completion rate of 41.7%. On the ground, the Aggies gave up 120 yards on 33 attempts, which is 3.6 yds per rush surrendered.

When it comes to scoring points, the Utah State Aggies have an average of 31.5 points per game. As a unit they have an average of 160.3 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 62nd in college football. The Aggies have racked up 3,305 total yards over the course of this year. In terms of getting in the endzone, Utah State has compiled 18 passing touchdowns and 15 touchdowns via the ground. Utah State has earned 160 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 60 infractions for 442 yards. They have turned the football over 7 times.

The Aggies are ranked 117th in D-1 in terms of team defense, giving up 31.8 points per game. They are allowing an average of 4.8 yards per running attempt and 185.8 rushing yards per game this season. In total, they have conceded 1,486 yards on the ground through 8 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Aggies are allowing 2,066 yds which has them ranked 99th in the nation. They have conceded 258.3 yards per contest through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 60.5%. During the season, they are conceding 444.0 yards per contest which puts them 129th in Division 1. They have conceded 17 touchdowns by air as well as 14 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Rebels come into this matchup with a record of 6-2 this year. In their last game, the Rebels went home victorious with a score of 42-10 when they played the Colorado State Rams. The Rebels finished with a total of 571 yards and they ran 65 plays (8.8 yards per play). UNLV rushed the football for 7.8 yards per carry, totaling 320 yards on 41 carries. UNLV conceded 34 running attempts for 103 yards (3.0 yds per carry). The Rebels secondary gave up a completion rate of 58.6%, surrendering 189 yards on 17 for 29 through the air.

When looking at their ability to score points, the Rebels are ranked 16th in college football holding an average of 36.9 PPG. The UNLV Rebels average 450.0 yards per outing, which has them sitting 25th in college football. The UNLV offense has compiled 553 penalty yds on 60 violations, which is 38th in college football in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 4 picks while losing 5 fumbles and they have tallied 181 first downs. For the year thus far, the Rebels currently have a total of 2,053 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 256.6 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 38th in Division 1. They are averaging 193.4 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,547 yards for this season.

UNLV has conceded a total of 1,564 yards via the ground game (195.5 yards per contest) and 16 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. They have conceded 17 touchdowns through the air as well as 274.5 yards per outing, ranking them 130th in college football. Overall, they have surrendered 274 pts. They have 6 fumbles recovered and 11 interceptions this year. The Rebels defense has participated in 539 plays, which ranks them 44th in the country. The Rebels are allowing 34.3 points per game, which puts them 128th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aggies +4.5

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