Utah State Aggies vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 9/27/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (-22.0)

Total/Over-Under: 59

FirstBank Stadium is the location where the Vanderbilt Commodores (4-0) will attempt to defeat the Utah State Aggies (3-1) on Saturday, September 27, 2025. Vanderbilt opens this matchup as 22.0-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 59.

The Utah State Aggies come into this game with a record of 3-1 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Aggies took the field against the McNeese State Cowboys and went home with a win by a final score of 48-7. The Utah State Aggies ran the ball 47 times and totaled 334 yds, earning them an average of 7.1 yards per carry. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 75 plays which gave them a total of 627 yards. Utah State gave up 11 pass completions on 28 tries for 130 yards, and a completion rate of 39.3%. Against the rush, the Aggies conceded 109 yards on 40 tries, which is an average of 2.7 yds per run surrendered.

Regarding scoring, the Utah State Aggies have an average of 36.8 points per outing. As a team they average 181.3 yards in the run game ranking them 56th in the nation. The Aggies have racked up 1,710 total yards for this campaign. In terms of notching touchdowns, Utah State has compiled 9 touchdowns via the pass and 11 touchdowns via the ground. Utah State has 85 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 33 penalties for 228 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 3 times.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Aggies are giving up 809 yds which has them sitting in 76th in the country. They have given up 202.3 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 55.1%. For the season, they are giving up 380.5 yards per game which ranks them 89th in D-1. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition is running for 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and 178.3 rushing yards per contest so far this year. Over the course of this season, they have given up 713 rushing yards through 4 outings. The Aggies are ranked 78th in Division 1 concerning team defense, allowing 24.3 points per game.

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The Commodores step onto the field holding a record of 4-0 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Commodores walked away with a victory by a final of 70-21 when they played the Georgia State Panthers. Vanderbilt conceded 20 running attempts for 32 yds (1.6 yds per rush). The Commodores pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 64.6%, surrendering 258 yards on 31 for 48 through the air. The Commodores finished the game with a total of 635 yards while running 71 plays (8.9 yds per play). Vanderbilt rushed for 7.7 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 286 yds on 37 carries.

In terms of how much they score, the Commodores are sitting 8th in the nation averaging 47.5 points per contest. The Vanderbilt Commodores maintain an average of 482.3 yards per game, which is good for 19th in college football. The Vanderbilt offense has compiled 291 penalty yards on 33 infractions, ranking them 13th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 2 interceptions while letting opponents recover 1 fumble and they have been able to tally 100 1st downs. During the season to this point, the Commodores have compiled 1,034 yards through the air as well as an average of 258.5 throwing yards per game, which ranks 45th in the country. They maintain an average of 223.8 rushing yards per game and have run for 895 yards for the season.

Vanderbilt has yielded a total of 280 yards rushing (70.0 yards per game) in addition to 2 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have allowed 4 touchdowns via the pass and 180.3 yards/game, which has them ranked 41st in Division 1. This season, they have relinquished 51 total points. Their defense has tallied 5 fumbles recovered and 3 picks so far this season. The Commodores defense has been on the field for 237 plays, which ranks 56th in college football. The Commodores are surrendering 12.8 points per game, which has them 19th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commodores -22.0

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