Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, 11/1/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns

Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025

Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, TX

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Longhorns (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium is where the Texas Longhorns (6-2) will try to beat the Vanderbilt Commodores (7-1) on Saturday, November 1, 2025. Texas opens this game as 2.5-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 45.5.

The Vanderbilt Commodores come into this matchup with a record of 7-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Commodores played the Missouri Tigers and walked away with a win by a score of 17-10. When all was said and done, they ran 45 plays which totaled 265 yards. The Vanderbilt Commodores ran the football 26 different times and accrued 136 yards, which came out to an average of 5.2 yards per tote. When it came to stopping the run, the Commodores conceded 170 yards on 41 attempts, which averages out to 4.1 yards per run surrendered. Vanderbilt allowed 23 completions on 37 tries for a total of 206 yards, and a completion rate of 62.2%.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Vanderbilt Commodores are averaging 38.4 PPG. As a unit they're holding an average of 203.4 yards in the run game ranking this team at 24th in D-1. The Commodores have earned 3,469 total yards this year. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Vanderbilt has earned 16 touchdowns via the pass and 24 touchdowns on the ground. Vanderbilt has accrued 180 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 56 penalties for 526 yards. They have turned the ball over 7 different times.

Concerning passing yardage, the Commodores have conceded 1,766 yards which has them ranked 87th in D-1. They are allowing 220.8 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 66.4%. During the season, they have given up 322.6 yards per contest ranking them 31st in the nation. They have relinquished 14 touchdowns by air in addition to 3 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing an average of 3.5 yards per running attempt and 101.9 rushing yards per contest for the year. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 815 yards via the ground game in 8 games. The Commodores are sitting in 25th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 18.8 points per game.

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The Longhorns come into this game with a record of 6-2 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Longhorns got the victory with a final of 45-38 when they faced the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Longhorns finished with a total of 428 yds and they ran 79 plays (5.4 yds per play). Texas rushed for 2.3 yards per carry, finishing the game with 72 yds on 32 carries. Texas allowed 43 run attempts for 63 yards (1.5 yds per carry). The Longhorns secondary conceded a completion percentage of 62.8%, relinquishing 382 yards on 27 out of 43 passing.

The Texas Longhorns have an average of 375.6 yards/outing, which has them ranked 79th in the nation. The Texas offense has accrued 525 penalty yards on 64 infractions, which ranks 5th in the country in terms of hurting your team. They average 139.8 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,118 yards overall. They have tossed 6 picks while losing 1 fumbles and they have been able to earn 144 first downs. Regarding how much they score, the Longhorns currently sit 66th in the nation averaging 29.0 points per game. During this campaign to this point, the Longhorns have racked up 1,887 yards through the air along with an average of 235.9 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 66th in D-1.

Texas has conceded a total of 646 yards on the ground (80.8 yards per outing) as well as 5 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this season. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 219.1 yards/outing, ranking them 66th in D-1. This season, they have conceded 117 total points. Their defense has compiled 5 fumbles and 9 picks so far this year. The Longhorns defense has taken the field for 542 plays, which is 99th in the nation. The Longhorns are conceding 14.6 points per game, which has them ranked 10th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Commodores/Longhorns college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Longhorns -2.5

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