Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 11/14/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026

Location: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (+15.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

FirstBank Stadium is where the Vanderbilt Commodores (4-5) will try to beat the Alabama Crimson Tide (7-2) on Saturday, November 14, 2026. Alabama opens this contest as 15.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 50.5.

The Alabama Crimson Tide head into this game 7-2 for this season. In their last matchup, the Crimson Tide faced the LSU Tigers and went home with a win by a final score of 31-13. When it came to stopping the run, the Crimson Tide conceded 77 yards on 33 tries, which is 2.3 yards per run allowed. Alabama allowed 35 completions on 48 tries for a total of 380 yards, and a completion percentage of 72.9%. For the game, they tallied 53 plays which gave them 285 yards. The Alabama Crimson Tide ran the football 29 different times and tallied 79 yds, earning them an average of 2.7 yds per carry.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Alabama Crimson Tide hold an average of 37.4 points per game. As a unit they're averaging 143.8 yards rushing which ranks them 87th in D-1. The Crimson Tide have racked up 3,580 total yards this season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Alabama has totaled 18 touchdowns through the air and 20 touchdowns via the ground. Alabama has accumulated 179 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 64 penalties for 456 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 times.

Regarding yards through the air, the Crimson Tide have allowed 2,159 yards which puts them in 108th in the country. They have conceded 239.9 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 64.1%. In total, they have given up 344.4 yards per game which has them ranked 51st in the nation. They have yielded 10 touchdowns by air and 9 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up an average of 3.0 yards per run and 104.6 rushing yards per game so far this season. Overall, they have allowed 941 rushing yards through 9 games. The Crimson Tide are ranked 36th in Division 1 in terms of the opposition scoring, allowing 20.3 PPG.

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The Commodores come into this game with a record of 4-5 for this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Commodores got the victory with a final of 25-23 when they played the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Vanderbilt conceded 19 run attempts for 43 yds (2.3 yds per carry). The Commodores pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 63.9%, relinquishing 254 yards on 23 for 36 passing. The Commodores ended up finishing with 328 yds on 79 plays (4.2 yards per play). Vanderbilt ran for 3.1 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 160 yards on 52 carries.

In relation to how much they score, the Commodores currently rank 103rd in the country with 23.0 PPG. The Vanderbilt Commodores maintain an average of 341.1 yards per outing, which ranks them 111th in college football. The Vanderbilt offense has 555 yards of penalties on 76 infractions, which is 12th in Division 1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 9 picks while surrendering 6 fumbles and they have earned 166 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Commodores have racked up 2,061 yards through the air as well as an average of 229.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 70th in Division 1. They are averaging 112.1 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,009 yards in total.

The Commodores are allowing 29.4 PPG, which has them 109th in Division 1. Vanderbilt has surrendered a total of 1,240 yards rushing (137.8 yards per contest) and 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. They have surrendered 15 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 221.3 yards per game, which has them in 81st in college football. The Commodores defense has been on the field for 574 plays, which ranks 52nd in the country. Their defense has 2 fumbles and 6 interceptions over the course of the season. In total, they have conceded 265 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Crimson Tide/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Crimson Tide -15.5

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