Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 10/17/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-4) are headed to FirstBank Stadium on Saturday, October 17, 2026 where they will meet the Vanderbilt Commodores (3-3). Vanderbilt opens this matchup as 6.5-point favorites. The total is 49.5.

The Arkansas Razorbacks step onto the field holding a record of 2-4 for this year. In their last contest, the Razorbacks stepped onto the field against the Texas A&M Aggies and took a loss by a final of 34-7. In the game, they had 47 plays which gave them 214 yds. The Arkansas Razorbacks ran the rock 22 different times and had 103 yds, which earned them an average of 4.7 yards per tote. On the ground, the Razorbacks conceded 231 yards on 49 tries, which is an average of 4.7 yds per run surrendered. Arkansas conceded 13 pass completions on 19 attempts for 170 yards, and a completion rate of 68.4%.

The Razorbacks have racked up 1,963 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Arkansas has amassed 8 touchdowns via the pass and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 8 times. Arkansas has recorded 121 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 38 penalties for 305 yds. As a team they maintain an average of 99.0 yards on the ground which ranks them 131st in the nation. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Arkansas Razorbacks are averaging 19.3 points per contest.

The Razorbacks are ranked 105th in the country regarding team defense, conceding 27.7 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per tote and 149.5 rushing yards per contest so far this year. For the season, they have allowed 897 rushing yards through 6 contests. When talking about passing yards, the Razorbacks have conceded 1,217 yards which ranks them 80th in Division 1. They have surrendered 202.8 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 65.5%. Over the course of this year, they are giving up 352.3 yards per outing ranking them 71st in D-1. They have granted 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 17 touchdowns pounding the rock.

Get all of our College Football Picks this Week

The Commodores head into this matchup 3-3 for this year. For their last game, the Commodores walked away with a loss by a score of 52-17 against the Ole Miss Rebels. The Commodores finished with 343 yards and they ran 74 plays (4.6 yards per play). Vanderbilt ran for 2.8 yards per carry, finishing the game with 103 yards on 37 carries. Vanderbilt surrendered 35 running attempts for 196 yards (5.6 yards per rush). The Commodores passing defense gave up a completion rate of 66.7%, surrendering 213 yards on 20 out of 30 through the air.

The Vanderbilt Commodores have an average of 348.3 yards/outing, ranking them 103rd in D-1. The Vanderbilt offense has totaled 420 yds of penalties on 56 violations, which ranks them 4th in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. They are averaging 119.7 yards via the ground game and have run for 718 yards overall. They have tossed 6 interceptions while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have been able to tally 111 first downs. When it comes to their ability to score points, the Commodores are ranking 98th in the nation maintaining an average of 24.0 points per outing. For the year so far, the Commodores have a total of 1,372 yards through the air together with an average of 228.7 passing yards per game, which ranks 72nd in Division 1.

Vanderbilt has surrendered a total of 837 rushing yards (139.5 yards/game) and 8 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have yielded 12 touchdowns via the pass and 214.0 yards per game, ranking them 80th in college football. This season, they have conceded 177 pts. Their defense has totaled 2 fumbles and 5 picks this year. The Commodores defense has taken part in 382 plays, which is good for 90th in the country. The Commodores are conceding 29.5 points per contest, ranking them 117th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Razorbacks/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Razorbacks +6.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college football picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.