Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, 9/5/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Memphis Tigers

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52

Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium is the location where the Memphis Tigers (8-5 last season) will play the Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-6 last year) on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Arkansas State is 10.5-point dogs. The betting total is set at 52.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves wrapped up their year having earned a 7-6 mark. The last time they took the field, the Red Wolves faced the Missouri State Bears and took home the win by a score of 34-28. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ran the football 25 different times and totaled 71 yards, which earned them an average of 2.8 yds per attempt. Overall, they tallied 56 plays for 359 yds. Arkansas State conceded 25 pass completions on 35 attempts for 349 yards, and a completion rate of 71.4%. When it came to stopping the run, the Red Wolves conceded 47 yards on 37 attempts, which is 1.3 yds per run allowed.

Regarding scoring points, the Arkansas State Red Wolves held an average of 25.2 points per contest. As a team they averaged 123.2 yards in the run game, which had them sitting 108th in the nation. The Red Wolves racked up 4,975 total yards for last season. Arkansas State compiled 20 passing touchdowns and 14 touchdowns on the ground. Arkansas State accumulated 289 1st downs, and they were called for 82 penalties for 751 yds. They gave the ball to the opposition 23 different times.

Regarding passing yardage, the Red Wolves conceded 3,184 yds which had them sitting in 118th in the nation. Over the course of their 13 games, they conceded 244.9 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 68.2%. They allowed 413.3 yards per game putting them 112th in the country. They allowed 21 touchdowns via the pass as well as 23 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams ran for an average of 4.4 yards per rush on the ground and 168.4 rushing yards per contest last season. In total, they gave up 2,189 yards via the running game in 13 contests. The Red Wolves ranked 86th in Division 1 in terms of team defense, conceding 27.4 points per game.

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The Tigers ended the season with a 8-5 record. The last time they took the field, the Tigers walked away with a victory by a final of 27-21 against the UNLV Rebels. Memphis ran the football for 5.7 yards per carry, finishing with 195 yds on 34 attempts. The Tigers finished with a total of 418 yards on 60 plays (7.0 yds per play). The Tigers secondary gave up a completion rate of 65.8%, relinquishing 291 yds on 25 for 38 passing. Memphis surrendered 41 running attempts for 169 yards (4.1 yards per rush).

The Memphis Tigers averaged 411.6 yards per outing, ranking them 35th in D-1. The Memphis offense had 625 yds of penalties on 72 violations, which ranked them 86th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They held an average of 183.2 yards via the ground game and ran for 2,382 yards for the season. They threw 9 picks while conceding 3 fumbles and they obtained 296 first downs. When it comes to how much they scored, the Tigers sat 25th in Division 1 maintaining an average of 32.5 PPG. For the previous season, the Tigers had a total of 2,969 yards via the pass not to mention averaging 228.4 passing yards per outing, ranking them 65th in college football.

Memphis surrendered a total of 1,703 yards on the ground (131.0 yards/game) and 22 touchdowns via the rush throughout last season. They gave up 16 touchdowns through the air in addition to 227.2 yards/game, which had them ranked 85th in the country. In total, they surrendered 302 points in total. They compiled 7 fumbles and 12 picks last season. The Tigers defense took part in 852 plays, ranking them 74th in college football. The Tigers conceded 23.2 PPG, which had them ranked 52nd in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers -10.5

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