Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Prediction, 10/17/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: M. M. Roberts Stadium in Hattiesburg, MS

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Golden Eagles (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 60.5

M. M. Roberts Stadium is the location where the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-4) will compete against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-4) on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Arkansas State opens this matchup as 6.5-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 60.5.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves head into this game 2-4 this year. In their last contest, the Red Wolves took the field against the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and went home with a loss by a final score of 23-20. Against the rush, the Red Wolves gave up 251 yds on 42 attempts, which is an average of 6.0 yds per rush allowed. Arkansas State conceded 18 completions on 21 attempts for a total of 184 yards, and a completion rate of 85.7%. When all was said and done, they tallied 54 plays for 293 yds. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ended up rushing 23 different times and totaled 87 yds, which earned them an average of 3.8 yards per attempt.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have an average of 28.2 points per game. Offensively they're holding an average of 132.8 yards on the ground which ranks them 106th in D-1. The Red Wolves have racked up 2,258 yards in total for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Arkansas State has amassed 9 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns. Arkansas State has accounted for 123 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 30 infractions for 267 yds. They have turned the football over 8 different times.

The Red Wolves rank 112th in the nation when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 28.8 PPG. They are allowing an average of 5.3 yards per run and 213.7 rushing yards per game this year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,282 yards via the ground game in 6 games. Regarding passing yards, the Red Wolves have given up 1,088 yds which has them sitting in 51st in the nation. They have surrendered 181.3 yards per game through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 69.8%. During this campaign, they have yielded 395.0 yards per contest which has them ranked 111th in the nation. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns by air as well as 15 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Golden Eagles come into this game with a record of 1-4 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Golden Eagles walked away with a loss by a score of 55-34 against the Troy Trojans. The Golden Eagles finished the game with a total of 512 yards and they ran 65 plays (7.9 yards per play). Southern Miss rushed the football for 4.5 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 121 yds on 27 carries. Southern Miss allowed 59 run attempts for 437 yards (7.4 yds per rush). The Golden Eagles pass defense conceded a completion rate of 85.7%, relinquishing 225 yards on 18 for 21 passing.

In terms of their scoring prowess, the Golden Eagles are ranked 87th in D-1 with an average of 26.4 PPG. The Southern Miss Golden Eagles maintain an average of 415.6 yards per outing, which has them sitting 52nd in Division 1. The Southern Miss offense has accrued 294 penalty yds on 32 infractions, which is 100th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 7 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumble and they have been able to obtain 113 1st downs. For the year to this point, the Golden Eagles have compiled 1,357 passing yards together with an average of 271.4 throwing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 27th in D-1. They maintain an average of 144.2 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 721 yards in total.

The Golden Eagles are relinquishing 34.6 PPG, which puts them 129th in D-1. Southern Miss has surrendered a total of 1,378 yards on the ground (275.6 yards per game) and 11 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns via the pass and 200.2 yards/outing, which has them in 57th in the country. The Golden Eagles defense has taken part in 371 plays, which is 77th in the country. They have totaled 2 fumbles and 5 interceptions for the season. This season, they have relinquished 173 total points.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Golden Eagles college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Wolves -6.5

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