Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/14/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-5) host the Auburn Tigers (5-4) at Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday, November 14, 2026. Mississippi State opens this game as 2.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 49.5.

The Auburn Tigers come into this game with a record of 5-4 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Tigers played the Arkansas Razorbacks and walked away with a win by a score of 26-23. Overall, they ran 74 plays which totaled 363 yards. The Auburn Tigers ended up rushing 40 different times and compiled 183 yards, which earned them an average of 4.6 yds per attempt. Against the run, the Tigers conceded 172 yds on 44 attempts, which averages out to 3.9 yds per run allowed. Auburn conceded 14 completions on 30 attempts for a total of 180 yds, and a completion rate of 46.7%.

The Tigers have attained 3,310 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Auburn has earned 13 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 11 different times. Auburn has recorded 193 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 69 penalties for 572 yds. As a team they have an average of 156.0 yards via the ground game ranking them 67th in the nation. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Auburn Tigers hold an average of 24.3 PPG.

The Tigers rank 85th in college football when it comes to team defense, giving up 26.3 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 3.9 yards per attempt on the ground and 157.6 yards on the ground per game on the year. In total, they have conceded 1,418 rushing yards through 9 games. Regarding passing yards, the Tigers have allowed 2,199 yards which puts them in 112th in the country. They are allowing 244.3 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 61.6%. In total, they are granting 401.9 yards per contest ranking them 109th in Division 1. They have allowed 12 touchdowns through the air in addition to 16 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 4-5 for this season. In their last game, the Bulldogs took a loss by a final score of 25-23 when they played the Vanderbilt Commodores. Mississippi State gave up 52 rush attempts for 160 yards (3.1 yds per rush). The Bulldogs pass defense gave up a completion rate of 63.0%, relinquishing 168 yards on 17 out of 27 passing. The Bulldogs finished the contest with 297 yards while running 55 plays (5.4 yards per play). Mississippi State rushed for 2.3 yards per tote, finishing with 43 yards on 19 attempts.

Regarding their ability to score points, the Bulldogs are 84th in college football averaging 26.2 points per contest. The Mississippi State Bulldogs maintain an average of 395.8 yards per outing, which has them sitting 54th in Division 1. The Mississippi State offense has accrued 595 yds of penalties on 66 violations, which is 36th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 7 picks while conceding 5 fumbles and they have been able to tally 189 first downs. For the year to this point, the Bulldogs currently sit at 2,226 passing yards as well as an average of 247.3 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 40th in Division 1. They hold an average of 148.4 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,336 yards in total.

The Bulldogs are surrendering 27.8 points per game, which puts them 100th in the nation. Mississippi State has given up a total of 1,092 rushing yards (121.3 yards per outing) as well as 6 touchdowns via the rush on the year. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns through the air in addition to 251.1 yards/game, which puts them in 122nd in college football. The Bulldogs defense has taken part in 617 plays, which is good for 108th in college football. They have tallied 6 fumbles and 2 interceptions so far this season. In total, they have surrendered 250 points.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +2.5

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