Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, AZ

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Sun Devils (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Baylor Bears (3-1) are en route to Mountain America Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026 where they will try to defeat the Arizona State Sun Devils (2-1). Baylor opens this contest as 4.5-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 50.5.

The Baylor Bears come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Bears went up against the Colorado Buffaloes and took home the win by a score of 23-13. The Baylor Bears ended up running the ball 35 times and compiled 116 yards, which is an average of 3.3 yards per attempt. In all, they tallied 74 plays which totaled 337 yds. Baylor surrendered 24 pass completions on 42 tries for 280 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. In the running game, the Bears conceded 83 yards on 39 attempts, which is 2.1 yards per rush surrendered.

The Bears have earned 1,743 total yards this year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Baylor has totaled 10 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 8 different times. Baylor has accumulated 103 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 34 penalties for 299 yards. As a team they maintain an average of 150.8 yards rushing giving them a rank of 87th in the country. Concerning getting in the endzone, the Baylor Bears are averaging 29.8 points per game.

Concerning yards through the air, the Bears have given up 836 yds which has them sitting in 76th in the nation. They are allowing 209.0 yards per outing through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 60.3%. Overall, they have surrendered 306.0 yards per outing ranking them 38th in D-1. They have conceded 2 touchdowns by air and 4 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing 2.8 yards per attempt on the ground and 97.0 rushing yards per contest on the season. In total, they have given up 388 yards via the running game in 4 games. The Bears are sitting in 16th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 13.0 points per game.

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The Sun Devils step onto the field holding a record of 2-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Sun Devils took home the win by a final score of 24-17 against the Kansas Jayhawks. The Sun Devils ended up finishing with 228 yards and they ran 66 plays (3.5 yards per play). Arizona State ran for 3.1 yds per carry, totaling 133 yds on 43 carries. Arizona State conceded 41 attempts on the ground for 179 yards (4.4 yards per rush). The Sun Devils pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 51.5%, surrendering 235 yds on 17 for 33 passing.

The Arizona State Sun Devils average 426.0 yards/game, ranking them 52nd in Division 1. The Arizona State offense has 149 yards of penalties on 20 infractions, which ranks 108th in college football in terms of helping out the other team. They hold an average of 165.7 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 497 yards for the year. They have thrown 2 interceptions while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have tallied 61 first downs. Concerning putting points on the board, the Sun Devils are ranking 32nd in college football averaging 38.0 points per game. For the season so far, the Sun Devils have racked up 781 yards through the air in addition to an average of 260.3 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 45th in the nation.

The Sun Devils are giving up 24.0 points per game, which has them ranked 80th in college football. Arizona State has allowed the opposition a total of 373 yards rushing (124.3 yards/game) and 2 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. They have allowed 4 touchdowns via the pass and 161.3 yards/outing, ranking them 19th in D-1. The Sun Devils defense has taken part in 183 plays, which is 6th in Division 1. Their defense has compiled 2 fumbles and 2 interceptions on the year. In total, they have given up 72 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Sun Devils college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears +4.5

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