Baylor Bears vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, 9/5/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs Auburn Tigers

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (-7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

The Baylor Bears (5-7 last season) are on their way to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday, September 5, 2026 where they will compete against the Auburn Tigers (5-7 last year). Auburn opens this matchup as 7.5-point favorites. The total is set at 58.5.

The Baylor Bears ended the season holding a 5-7 record. In their last contest, the Bears stepped onto the field against the Houston Cougars and took a loss by a final of 31-24. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 72 plays which gave them a total of 421 yards. The Baylor Bears ran the ball a total of 26 times and accrued 112 yards, which came out to an average of 4.3 yds per attempt. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bears gave up 216 yards on 48 tries, which calculates to 4.5 yds per run surrendered. Baylor surrendered 21 pass completions on 31 tries for a total of 201 yds, and a completion rate of 67.7%.

The Bears earned 5,413 total yards over the course of last year. Baylor compiled 31 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns via the ground. They turned the football over 24 times. Baylor amassed 298 1st downs as a team, and they were called for 72 infractions for 732 yds. As a team they had an average of 141.5 yards in the run game, which was 83rd in the country. Concerning putting points on the board, the Baylor Bears had an average of 31.1 points per game.

The Bears were ranked 122nd in D-1 concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 32.6 points per game. They gave up an average of 4.9 yards per run and 197.3 yards on the ground per game last year. In total, they gave up 2,368 rushing yards through 12 contests. Concerning yards via the pass, the Bears gave up 2,339 yards which had them ranked 19th in D-1. Over the course of their 12 games played last season, they conceded 194.9 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 62.0%. They surrendered 392.2 yards/game which put them 88th in D-1. They allowed 17 passing touchdowns in addition to 30 rushing touchdowns.

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The Tigers ended the season having a 5-7 record. In their last game, the Tigers walked away with a loss by a score of 27-20 when they faced the Alabama Crimson Tide. Auburn conceded 38 running attempts for 158 yards (4.2 yards per rush). The Tigers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 54.3%, surrendering 122 yards on 19 for 35 passing. The Tigers ended up finishing with 411 yds and they ran 75 plays (5.5 yards per play). Auburn rushed the ball for 4.2 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 152 yards on 36 carries.

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Tigers had a ranking of 74th in D-1 with a maintained average of 26.8 PPG. The Auburn Tigers had an average of 373.9 yards per contest, which ranked them 79th in D-1. The Auburn offense had 764 yds of penalties on 94 violations, ranking them 29th in the country in terms of making mistakes. They gave away 4 picks while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they earned 250 first downs. Last season, the Tigers compiled 2,365 passing yards as well as an average of 197.1 throwing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 99th in the country. They averaged 176.8 yards per game on the ground and rushed for 2,122 yards for the year.

Auburn allowed a total of 1,192 rushing yards (99.3 yards per outing) and 12 touchdowns via the rush last season. They surrendered 16 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 229.8 yards per outing, which had them ranked 90th in D-1. Last year, they conceded 248 points in total. Their defense earned 6 fumbles recovered and 11 picks over the course of last year. The Tigers defense was on the field for 798 plays, ranking them 34th in Division 1. The Tigers gave up 20.7 points per game, which had them ranked 34th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears +7.5

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