Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 10/10/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026

Location: Valley Children's Stadium in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48

The Fresno State Bulldogs (4-1) will go up against the Boise State Broncos (4-1) at Valley Children's Stadium on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Boise State is 5.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 48.

The Boise State Broncos head into this matchup 4-1 for this year. In their last game, the Broncos faced the Utah State Aggies and took home the win by a score of 37-18. Against the rush, the Broncos gave up 169 yds on 33 attempts, which averages out to 5.1 yards per rush allowed. Boise State conceded 14 pass completions on 25 attempts for 176 yds, and a completion rate of 56.0%. Overall, they had 62 plays which converted into 429 yds. The Boise State Broncos rushed the ball a total of 41 times and tallied 185 yards, which had them averaging 4.5 yards per carry.

When talking about putting points on the board, the Boise State Broncos have an average of 34.4 points per game. As a unit they have an average of 226.6 yards on the ground which ranks them 20th in college football. The Broncos have earned 2,191 total yards this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Boise State has compiled 11 touchdowns via the pass and 9 touchdowns via the ground. Boise State has tallied 116 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 24 infractions for 234 yds. They have turned the ball over 3 times.

The Broncos rank 50th in college football in terms of the opposition scoring, allowing 20.6 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 114.4 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have conceded 572 rushing yards through 5 outings. Regarding passing yardage, the Broncos have given up 1,291 yds which has them ranked 117th in the nation. They are conceding 258.2 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 58.9%. Over the course of this season, they are giving up 372.6 yards per outing which has them ranked 87th in college football. They have relinquished 9 touchdowns by air as well as 3 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 4-1 for this season. When they last played, the Bulldogs got the victory with a final of 26-6 against the Washington State Cougars. Fresno State ended up running for 3.7 yds per carry, finishing with 130 yards on 35 attempts. The Bulldogs ended up finishing with 375 yds while running 68 plays (5.5 yards per play). The Bulldogs pass defense allowed a completion rate of 61.8%, surrendering 152 yards on 21 for 34 passing. Fresno State allowed 24 rush attempts for 30 yds (1.3 yds per rush).

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Bulldogs currently rank 76th in D-1 with an average of 27.8 PPG. The Fresno State Bulldogs are averaging 367.2 yards per game, which ranks them 93rd in the nation. The Fresno State offense has totaled 176 yards of penalties on 25 infractions, which is 110th in college football in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 1 pick while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have obtained 89 first downs. For the season to this point, the Bulldogs have compiled 1,067 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 213.4 passing yards per game, which ranks 85th in college football. They hold an average of 153.8 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 769 yards in total.

The Bulldogs are surrendering 16.4 PPG, which has them ranked 27th in D-1. Fresno State has surrendered a total of 717 rushing yards (143.4 yards per game) as well as 4 touchdowns on the ground for the campaign. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns through the air in addition to 215.4 yards per outing, which puts them in 80th in Division 1. The Bulldogs defense has been on the field for 324 plays, which is 88th in college football. They have totaled 4 fumbles and 7 interceptions for the year. In total, they have given up 82 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +5.5

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