Boston College Eagles vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston College Eagles vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: CW

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-20.5)

Total/Over-Under: 56.5

Gerald J. Ford Stadium is the location where the SMU Mustangs (3-1) will attempt to beat the Boston College Eagles (2-2) on Saturday, October 3, 2026. SMU opens as 20.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 56.5.

The Boston College Eagles head into this matchup 2-2 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Eagles stepped onto the field against the Virginia Tech Hokies and went home with a loss by a final score of 21-14. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 61 plays for 261 yards. The Boston College Eagles ran the ball a total of 38 different times and compiled 150 yards, which earned them an average of 3.9 yards per carry. In the running game, the Eagles gave up 223 yds on 42 attempts, which calculates to 5.3 yards per rush allowed. Boston College conceded 22 completions on 35 attempts for 147 yds, and a completion rate of 62.9%.

The Eagles currently have 1,410 yards in total for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Boston College has compiled 3 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 7 times. Boston College has recorded 73 first downs, and they have been flagged for 24 penalties for 202 yards. As a team they're holding an average of 162.8 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 65th in college football. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Boston College Eagles have an average of 19.8 PPG.

When it comes to passing yards, the Eagles have conceded 663 yards which ranks them 29th in the nation. They are giving up 165.8 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 67.0%. During this campaign, they are giving up 340.8 yards per outing which ranks them 65th in D-1. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 4 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per run and 175.0 rushing yards per contest for the season. In total, they have given up 700 rushing yards through 4 games. The Eagles rank 70th in the country concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 23.0 points per game.

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The Mustangs head into this game 3-1 for this season. For their last game, the Mustangs went home victorious with a score of 34-24 when they faced the Missouri State Bears. SMU relinquished 28 rush attempts for 68 yds (2.4 yds per carry). The Mustangs secondary gave up a completion rate of 64.7%, surrendering 171 yards on 22 for 34 passing. The Mustangs finished the game with a total of 592 yds while they ran 79 plays (7.5 yds per play). SMU rushed for 3.2 yards per attempt, finishing with 128 yds on 40 carries.

The SMU Mustangs have an average of 550.8 yards per outing, which has them sitting 2nd in the country. The SMU offense has 295 yards of penalties on 32 infractions, which is 26th in the nation in terms of hurting your team. They maintain an average of 158.3 run yards per game and have run for 633 yards for the season. They have thrown 5 picks while losing 4 fumbles and they have been able to record 98 1st downs. Concerning their ability to score points, the Mustangs rank 35th in college football by tallying 37.0 PPG. Over the course of the season to this point, the Mustangs have thrown for 1,570 yards via the pass together with holding an average of 392.5 passing yards per contest, which ranks 1st in D-1.

The Mustangs are conceding 24.8 PPG, which has them ranked 84th in the country. SMU has yielded a total of 594 yards via the ground game (148.5 yards per game) and 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the year. They have given up 6 touchdowns through the air in addition to 161.0 yards/game, ranking them 18th in college football. The Mustangs defense has been on the field for 250 plays, which is good for 59th in college football. They have 2 fumbles and 2 interceptions so far this year. In total, they have conceded 99 total points.

Who will win tonight's Eagles/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Eagles +20.5

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