Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami RedHawks Prediction, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami RedHawks

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Yager Stadium in Oxford, OH

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: RedHawks (-13.5)

Total/Over-Under: 42.5

The Miami RedHawks (2-2) are hosting the Bowling Green Falcons (0-4) at Yager Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Bowling Green opens this matchup as 13.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 42.5.

The Bowling Green Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 0-4 this year. In their last matchup, the Falcons played the USF Bulls and went home with a loss by a final score of 14-6. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Falcons gave up 162 yds on 42 tries, which is an average of 3.9 yards per rush allowed. Bowling Green gave up 7 pass completions on 11 attempts for 52 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.6%. In all, they ran 61 plays for 207 yards. The Bowling Green Falcons ended up running the ball 33 different times and compiled 85 yds, which came out to an average of 2.6 yds per attempt.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Bowling Green Falcons are sitting at 8.3 points per game. As a team they're holding an average of 91.0 yards on the ground ranking this team at 135th in college football. The Falcons have racked up 928 total yards for the year. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Bowling Green has earned 2 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground. Bowling Green has amassed 54 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 27 penalties for 222 yards. They have turned the football over 6 different times.

When talking about yards through the air, the Falcons have allowed 682 yds which ranks them 34th in college football. They have allowed 170.5 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 71.8%. For the year, they have given up 432.8 yards per contest which puts them 127th in the country. They have given up 8 touchdowns through the air and 8 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 6.8 yards per rush and 262.3 rushing yards per game so far this season. For the season, they have given up 1,049 yards on the ground through 4 games. The Falcons are ranked 132nd in the nation regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 36.3 PPG.

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The RedHawks head into this matchup 2-2 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the RedHawks got the victory with a final of 24-21 when they faced the Connecticut Huskies. Miami rushed for 3.1 yards per carry, finishing the game with 89 yds on 29 attempts. The RedHawks ended up finishing with 414 yards while they ran 61 plays (6.8 yds per play). The RedHawks pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 53.1%, relinquishing 215 yds on 17 for 32 through the air. Miami surrendered 30 attempts on the ground for 146 yards (4.9 yds per carry).

The Miami RedHawks have an average of 387.5 yards per outing, which has them sitting 78th in the nation. The Miami offense has compiled 190 yds of penalties on 21 infractions, which is good for 104th in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They hold an average of 98.3 run yards per game and have rushed for 393 yards overall. They have given away 2 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 79 1st downs. Regarding putting points on the board, the RedHawks are ranked 81st in D-1 holding an average of 28.5 PPG. Over the course of the season to this point, the RedHawks have compiled 1,157 yards via the pass along with an average of 289.3 passing yards per game, putting them at 23rd in Division 1.

The RedHawks are giving up 30.5 PPG, which puts them 118th in the nation. Miami has conceded a total of 489 rushing yards (122.3 yards/game) in addition to 6 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have conceded 11 touchdowns via the pass and 286.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 134th in D-1. The RedHawks defense has taken the field for 257 plays, which is good for 71st in D-1. Their defense has tallied 2 fumbles recovered and 1 interception this season. This year, they have given up 122 total points.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/RedHawks college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the RedHawks -13.5

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