Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals Prediction, 11/11/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals

Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Location: Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, IN

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Cardinals (+2.0)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Ball State Cardinals (3-6) will play the Buffalo Bulls (6-3) at Scheumann Stadium on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Buffalo opens as 2-point favorites. The over/under is 51.

The Buffalo Bulls head into this matchup 6-3 for this season. In their last game, the Bulls faced off with the Miami RedHawks and notched a win by a score of 34-31. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 79 plays which gave them 459 yds. The Buffalo Bulls rushed the ball a total of 33 times and totaled 101 yds, which earned them an average of 3.1 yards per carry. In the running game, the Bulls conceded 196 yards on 48 attempts, which is 4.1 yds per run allowed. Buffalo gave up 12 pass completions on 23 tries for 154 yds, and a completion percentage of 52.2%.

The Bulls have tallied 3,101 total yards for the year. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Buffalo has compiled 12 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 14 different times. Buffalo has earned 181 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 46 penalties for 435 yards. As a unit they're averaging 167.3 yards via the ground game which ranks them 53rd in Division 1. When it comes to scoring points, the Buffalo Bulls have an average of 23.9 points per outing.

The Bulls are sitting in 79th in the country when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 26.0 points per game. They are giving up an average of 4.3 yards per rush on the ground and 154.4 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,390 rushing yards through 9 games. When talking about passing yards, the Bulls have given up 1,976 yds which ranks them 74th in Division 1. They are allowing 219.6 yards per game through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 57.5%. Overall, they are granting 374.0 yards per outing putting them 80th in college football. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns through the air and 14 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Cardinals come into this matchup with a record of 3-6 for this season. When they last played, the Cardinals took a loss by a final score of 31-30 against the UMass Minutemen. Ball State ran the ball for 4.5 yds per carry, finishing the game with 168 yds on 37 carries. The Cardinals finished the game with 350 yards while running 64 plays (5.5 yards per play). The Cardinals pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 68.0%, relinquishing 302 yards on 17 out of 25 passing. Ball State conceded 39 attempts on the ground for 153 yds (3.9 yds per carry).

The Ball State Cardinals maintain an average of 338.9 yards per outing, ranking them 112th in the nation. The Ball State offense has racked up 660 yards of penalties on 74 infractions, which is good for 17th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They hold an average of 144.2 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 1,298 yards for this season. They have tossed 6 picks while allowing opponents to recover 3 fumbles and they have earned 171 first downs. In relation to how much they score, the Cardinals are 104th in D-1 averaging 22.9 points per game. For the year to this point, the Cardinals have thrown for a total of 1,752 yards through the air as well as an average of 194.7 passing yards per outing, which ranks 105th in the country.

The Cardinals are surrendering 34.8 points per game, ranking them 133rd in college football. Ball State has allowed a total of 1,618 yards on the ground (179.8 yards per outing) and 18 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have given up 20 touchdowns through the air in addition to 246.7 yards/game, which has them in 119th in college football. The Cardinals defense has participated in 590 plays, which is 70th in college football. They have compiled 4 fumbles and 4 interceptions on the year. In total, they have surrendered 313 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bulls/Cardinals college football game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Cardinals +2.0

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