California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 10/24/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX
TV: CW
Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-19.5)
Total/Over-Under: 52.5
Gerald J. Ford Stadium is the location where the SMU Mustangs (5-1) will take on the California Golden Bears (3-4) on Saturday, October 24, 2026. California opens this contest as 19.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 52.5.
The California Golden Bears head into this game 3-4 for this season. In their last contest, the Golden Bears took on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and ended up losing by a score of 41-7. In all, they ran 68 plays which converted into 266 yards. The California Golden Bears ran the rock 21 different times and recorded 75 yards, which is an average of 3.6 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Golden Bears gave up 220 yards on 36 tries, which is an average of 6.1 yards per run surrendered. California allowed 19 pass completions on 26 tries for a total of 289 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.1%.

Regarding scoring points, the California Golden Bears have an average of 23.9 points per contest. As a team they have an average of 90.3 yards via the ground game which ranks them 137th in Division 1. The Golden Bears have tallied 2,649 total yards for the season. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, California has amassed 12 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns on the ground. California has accrued 145 1st downs, and they have been called for 62 infractions for 575 yds. They have turned the football over 8 times.
When talking about passing yardage, the Golden Bears have allowed 1,444 yards which ranks them 92nd in the country. They are allowing 206.3 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 57.8%. In total, they are conceding 386.1 yards/game which puts them 106th in Division 1. They have allowed 10 touchdowns by air as well as 15 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up 5.0 yards per rushing attempt and 179.9 rushing yards per contest this year. In total, they have given up 1,259 running yards through 7 games. The Golden Bears are sitting in 104th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, conceding 27.7 PPG.
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The Mustangs come into this matchup with a record of 5-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Mustangs went home victorious with a score of 23-13 when they faced the Virginia Cavaliers. SMU ran for 4.8 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 158 yards on 33 attempts. The Mustangs finished the contest with a total of 404 yds on 69 plays (5.9 yds per play). The Mustangs secondary conceded a completion rate of 59.1%, surrendering 137 yds on 13 out of 22 through the air. SMU relinquished 32 run attempts for 121 yds (3.8 yds per carry).
The SMU Mustangs are averaging 466.7 yards per contest, which is good for 15th in D-1. The SMU offense has 414 yds of penalties on 45 infractions, which ranks 53rd in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. They are averaging 141.5 run yards per game and have run for 849 yards overall. They have thrown 5 interceptions while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have recorded 142 1st downs. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Mustangs are sitting 46th in the country with an average of 32.7 points per outing. For the year thus far, the Mustangs have thrown for a total of 1,951 yards through the air in addition to an average of 325.2 passing yards per outing, which ranks 5th in the country.
The Mustangs are allowing 21.3 points per game, which has them ranked 47th in Division 1. SMU has conceded a total of 829 yards via the ground game (138.2 yards per game) in addition to 7 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air and 164.8 yards/contest, which has them sitting 11th in D-1. The Mustangs defense has been on the field for 369 plays, which is good for 17th in D-1. Their defense has compiled 4 fumbles and 2 picks so far this year. Overall, they have allowed 128 pts.
Who will win tonight's Golden Bears/Mustangs college football game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Mustangs -19.5
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Additional Resources:
SMU Mustangs - Twitter
California Golden Bears - Twitter

