Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, 11/14/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026

Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, KY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Wildcats (-4.0)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

Kroger Field is the site where the Kentucky Wildcats (7-2) will try to defeat the Florida Gators (5-4) on Saturday, November 14, 2026. Kentucky is 4-point favorites. The total comes in at 52.5.

The Florida Gators head into this matchup 5-4 this season. In their last contest, the Gators faced the Oklahoma Sooners and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 23-7. The Florida Gators ended up rushing 25 times and totaled 70 yds, which earned them an average of 2.8 yds per carry. On the day, they ran 47 plays which converted into 203 yds. Florida relinquished 21 completions on 33 attempts for 207 yds, and a completion rate of 63.6%. On the ground, the Gators conceded 144 yards on 40 attempts, which is 3.6 yds per rush allowed.

The Gators have racked up 3,605 total yards for the year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Florida has amassed 13 touchdowns through the air and 22 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 13 times. Florida has 191 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 67 infractions for 640 yds. As a team they average 164.2 yards on the ground which is 57th in the nation. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Florida Gators have an average of 32.4 points per contest.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Gators have conceded 2,093 yds which has them ranked 98th in D-1. They have relinquished 232.6 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 64.7%. For the season, they are conceding 367.2 yards/game putting them at 77th in D-1. They have yielded 14 touchdowns through the air as well as 13 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition is running for an average of 4.0 yards per rush and 134.7 rushing yards per game for the season. During the season, they have conceded 1,212 running yards through 9 games. The Gators rank 99th in the country in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 27.6 points per game.

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The Wildcats step onto the field holding a record of 7-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Wildcats took a loss by a final score of 34-6 against the Tennessee Volunteers. Kentucky surrendered 37 run attempts for 240 yards (6.5 yards per rush). The Wildcats secondary conceded a completion percentage of 66.7%, surrendering 149 yds on 10 for 15 passing. The Wildcats finished the game with 361 yds while they ran 71 plays (5.1 yards per play). Kentucky rushed for 3.7 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 137 yards on 37 attempts.

When looking at the points being put on the board, the Wildcats currently rank 56th in D-1 by scoring 29.9 PPG. The Kentucky Wildcats average 383.6 yards per contest, which has them ranked 70th in D-1. The Kentucky offense has accrued 385 yards of penalties on 43 infractions, which ranks 121st in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. They have thrown 2 picks while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 184 1st downs. For the season thus far, the Wildcats have earned 1,979 passing yards in addition to an average of 219.9 throwing yards per contest, which has them sitting 79th in the nation. They hold an average of 163.7 run yards per game and have run for 1,473 yards for the year.

The Wildcats are allowing 25.8 points per contest, which has them sitting 77th in Division 1. Kentucky has given up a total of 1,146 rushing yards (127.3 yards/game) in addition to 13 touchdowns rushing this season. They have conceded 14 touchdowns through the air as well as 238.2 yards per game, which has them ranked 108th in Division 1. The Wildcats defense has taken part in 609 plays, which has them ranked 95th in college football. Their defense has totaled 6 fumbles and 12 picks so far this year. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 232 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Gators/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Wildcats -4.0

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