Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, 10/17/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, TX

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Longhorns (-11.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52

DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium is the location where the Texas Longhorns (4-1) will attempt to defeat the Florida Gators (4-2) on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Florida is 11.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 52.

The Florida Gators step onto the field holding a record of 4-2 this season. The last time they took the field, the Gators faced the South Carolina Gamecocks and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 38-19. In all, they had 74 plays which gave them a total of 387 yds. The Florida Gators ran the ball 38 different times and recorded 120 yards, earning them an average of 3.2 yds per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Gators conceded 114 yds on 37 attempts, which calculates to 3.1 yds per rush surrendered. Florida conceded 23 pass completions on 35 tries for 279 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.7%.

The Gators have racked up 2,843 yards in total for this campaign. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Florida has compiled 11 touchdowns via the pass and 19 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 7 times. Florida has tallied 144 1st downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 48 penalties for 467 yds. As a unit they're holding an average of 200.3 yards rushing which has them sitting 34th in Division 1. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Florida Gators hold an average of 41.7 points per contest.

The Gators sit in 113th in the country regarding team defense, giving up 29.0 PPG. They are giving up an average of 3.9 yards per attempt on the ground and 124.3 yards on the ground per contest on the season. In total, they have allowed 746 rushing yards through 6 games. Regarding passing yards, the Gators have allowed 1,612 yards which ranks them 131st in the country. They have relinquished 268.7 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 64.8%. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 393.0 yards/contest which puts them 109th in D-1. They have surrendered 11 touchdowns by air in addition to 10 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Longhorns head into this matchup 4-1 for this season. When they last played, the Longhorns went home defeated by a final of 27-24 against the Oklahoma Sooners. Texas ran the football for 3.8 yds per carry, totaling 122 yds on 32 carries. The Longhorns finished the contest with a total of 382 yds on 63 plays (6.1 yds per play). The Longhorns secondary conceded a completion rate of 69.2%, relinquishing 155 yards on 18 out of 26 passing. Texas surrendered 31 rushing attempts for 83 yds (2.7 yards per rush).

Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Longhorns sit 59th in D-1 by scoring 31.4 PPG. The Texas Longhorns maintain an average of 379.2 yards per game, which is good for 79th in the country. The Texas offense has totaled 311 yards of penalties on 33 infractions, which ranks 91st in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 5 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 108 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Longhorns have compiled 1,185 passing yards as well as an average of 237.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 62nd in Division 1. They hold an average of 142.2 run yards per game and have rushed for 711 yards for the year.

Texas has allowed the opposition a total of 480 yards via the ground game (96.0 yards per outing) as well as 3 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. They have given up 2 touchdowns via the pass as well as 168.4 yards per game, which has them in 23rd in Division 1. This year, they have allowed 80 total points. Their defense has earned 2 fumbles and 3 picks this year. The Longhorns defense has participated in 313 plays, which is 18th in the country. The Longhorns are allowing 16.0 points per game, which has them 21st in college football.

Who will win tonight's Gators/Longhorns college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Longhorns -11.5

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