Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, 10/17/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Hurricanes (-21.5)

Total/Over-Under: 55

The Miami Hurricanes (5-0) will try to beat the Florida State Seminoles (3-3) at Hard Rock Stadium on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Miami opens as 21.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 55.

The Florida State Seminoles head into this game 3-3 for this season. In their last matchup, the Seminoles went up against the Virginia Cavaliers and walked away with a win by a score of 38-7. Overall, they tallied 65 plays which gave them 464 yds. The Florida State Seminoles ran the football 46 different times and had 281 yds, which had them averaging 6.1 yards per tote. Against the run, the Seminoles gave up 37 yards on 40 tries, which averages out to 0.9 yds per run surrendered. Florida State allowed 14 completions on 32 attempts for 168 yds, and a completion rate of 43.8%.

The Seminoles have earned 2,457 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Florida State has earned 8 passing touchdowns and 16 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 8 different times. Florida State has accumulated 121 first downs, and they have been called for 37 penalties for 356 yds. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 187.2 yards on the ground which ranks them 43rd in Division 1. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Florida State Seminoles are sitting at 31.0 points per outing.

When it comes to passing yards, the Seminoles have conceded 1,468 yards which ranks them 119th in D-1. They have given up 244.7 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 61.9%. Overall, they have surrendered 410.2 yards/contest which puts them 122nd in D-1. They have allowed 9 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.6 yards per rush and 165.5 rushing yards per contest this season. In total, they have conceded 993 rushing yards through 6 games. The Seminoles are sitting in 83rd in Division 1 regarding the opposition scoring, giving up 25.3 points per game.

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The Hurricanes step onto the field holding a record of 5-0 for this season. In their last game, the Hurricanes walked away with a victory by a final of 52-3 against the Central Michigan Chippewas. The Hurricanes finished the game with a total of 572 yards while running 68 plays (8.4 yds per play). Miami ran the football for 5.9 yds per carry, finishing with 201 yards on 34 carries. Miami surrendered 25 rushing attempts for 21 yds (0.8 yds per rush). The Hurricanes secondary gave up a completion percentage of 80.8%, surrendering 137 yds on 21 for 26 passing.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Hurricanes rank 1st in D-1 by tallying 49.6 PPG. The Miami Hurricanes have an average of 554.8 yards/game, ranking them 1st in D-1. The Miami offense has totaled 295 yds of penalties on 32 violations, which ranks them 97th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 1 interception while losing 1 fumble and they have been able to tally 148 first downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Hurricanes have earned 1,672 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 334.4 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 5th in D-1. They maintain an average of 220.4 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,102 yards for the season.

Miami has surrendered a total of 213 yards rushing (42.6 yards per contest) as well as 1 touchdown via the rush so far this season. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns through the air as well as 207.0 yards per contest, which has them in 70th in D-1. In total, they have conceded 49 points in total. Their defense has compiled 3 fumbles recovered and 3 interceptions this season. The Hurricanes defense has taken the field for 300 plays, which is good for 9th in Division 1. The Hurricanes are surrendering 9.8 PPG, which has them 1st in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Seminoles/Hurricanes college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Seminoles +21.5

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