Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 10/17/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, CA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aztecs (+7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The San Diego State Aztecs (2-4) are hosting the Fresno State Bulldogs (4-2) at Snapdragon Stadium on Saturday, October 17, 2026. San Diego State opens this matchup as 7.5-point dogs. The over/under is set at 45.

The Fresno State Bulldogs step onto the field holding a record of 4-2 for this season. In their last contest, the Bulldogs went up against the Boise State Broncos and ended up losing by a score of 38-31. In all, they tallied 51 plays which converted into 346 yards. The Fresno State Bulldogs ended up running the ball 16 different times and accumulated 69 yds, which had them averaging 4.3 yds per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Bulldogs gave up 274 yards on 45 tries, which is 6.1 yds per run surrendered. Fresno State allowed 23 completions on 34 attempts for 238 yds, and a completion percentage of 67.6%.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the Fresno State Bulldogs are averaging 28.3 PPG. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 139.7 yards rushing which has them sitting 93rd in the country. The Bulldogs have tallied 2,182 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Fresno State has totaled 9 passing touchdowns and 10 touchdowns via the ground. Fresno State has accrued 110 first downs, and they have been flagged for 27 infractions for 192 yds. They have surrendered the ball 3 times.

When it comes to passing yards, the Bulldogs have conceded 1,315 yards which has them sitting in 99th in D-1. They have given up 219.2 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 63.3%. Overall, they have given up 384.3 yards/game which ranks them 101st in Division 1. They have relinquished 7 touchdowns by air and 6 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing an average of 4.5 yards per tote and 165.2 rushing yards per game for the campaign. In total, they have given up 991 rushing yards through 6 outings. The Bulldogs are ranked 43rd in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 20.0 points per contest.

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The Aztecs come into this matchup with a record of 2-4 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Aztecs took a loss by a score of 66-14 against the Oregon State Beavers. San Diego State ran the ball for 2.7 yds per carry, finishing with 56 yards on 21 carries. The Aztecs finished the game with 147 yds on 48 plays (3.1 yds per play). The Aztecs pass defense allowed a completion rate of 78.7%, surrendering 462 yds on 37 for 47 passing. San Diego State relinquished 45 running attempts for 189 yards (4.2 yards per rush).

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Aztecs currently rank 105th in D-1 maintaining an average of 22.8 points per contest. The San Diego State Aztecs average 277.7 yards per outing, which has them sitting 135th in Division 1. The San Diego State offense has accrued 286 yds of penalties on 33 violations, which has them ranked 94th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 6 picks while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to record 92 first downs. For the season thus far, the Aztecs have earned 862 yards through the air as well as an average of 143.7 throwing yards per game, ranking them 130th in Division 1. They are averaging 134.0 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 804 yards for the year.

San Diego State has conceded a total of 1,072 yards on the ground (178.7 yards per game) in addition to 10 touchdowns rushing on the campaign. They have yielded 15 touchdowns through the air as well as 299.2 yards per game, which puts them in 137th in D-1. This year, they have conceded 210 pts. They have totaled 2 fumbles and 5 interceptions for the year. The Aztecs defense has been on the field for 486 plays, which ranks 138th in college football. The Aztecs are relinquishing 35.0 points per contest, which has them ranked 131st in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Aztecs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -7.5

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